Portfolio projection of biodiversity responses under climate change

生物需要适应和/或迁移，以避免在气候变化下的严重人口损失。尽管这两个过程在生物多样性动态中都很重要，但大多数生物多样性预测都侧重于气候变化下的迁移模式。未来避免气候驱动的灭绝所需的适应类型和数量在很大程度上仍然未知。该项目旨在量化具有生态和经济重要性的海洋物种所需的适应和迁移的类型和程度，以避免气候变化造成的严重种群损失。通过将适应性和迁移反应量化为脆弱性指标，项目成果将为资源管理人员提供制定灵活管理战略的新工具。

Organisms need to adapt and/or migrate to avoid critical population loss under climate change. Despite the importance of both processes in biodiversity dynamics, most biodiversity predictions focus on the patterns of migration under climate change. The type and amount of adaptation required to escape climate-driven extinction in the future remain largely unknown. This project aims to quantify the type and extent of adaptation and migration required for ecologically and economically important marine species to avoid critical population loss under climate change. By quantifying adaptive and migration responses as vulnerability metrics, the project outcomes will provide resource managers novel tools to formulate flexible management strategies.