Analysis of the Organizational Decline Mechanism and Turnaround Strategies

本研究旨在分析日本大企业的组织衰退过程，并针对衰退的类型提出扭转策略。为了实现这一目的，我们实现了以下分析步骤。1.提出衰退的组织起源和过程的假设.应用了破产预测模型（Altman和Zavgren模型）.讨论了该模型的理论适用性.设计并实施了对所有日本上市公司的问卷调查.制定了组织衰退类型的分类。比较了Zavgren模型和衰退类型.本研究以1988家日本大企业为对象，编制了160份调查问卷。212回答问卷调查内容包括公司概况、商业道德、企业战略、组织行为四个方面。在此基础上，我们对一家处于成长期的创业企业和处于财务困境的企业的管理者进行了访谈，了解了影响企业成功的重要因素，并对访谈结果进行了多元统计分析，确定了哪些因素与企业的衰退有关，哪些因素对企业的成功具有重要意义。我们的基本分析结果发表在《经济经济评论》杂志上，题为《组织衰退机制和扭转战略分析》。'

The purpose of this research is to analyze the organizational decline process of the Japanese big business an to propose turnaround strategies which respond to the types of decline. To accomplish this purpose, we implemente the following analytical steps.1. Proposed assumptions of the organizational or igins and process of the decline.2. Applied a bankruptcy forecasting model (Altman and Zavgren model).3. Discussed the theoretical availability of this model.4. Designed and implemented a questionnaire survey of all the Japanese companies listed in stock market.5. Developed a classification of the organizational decline types.6. Compared the Zavgren model and decline types.7. Developed turnaround strategies which respond to the decline types.The questionnaire was composed of 160 ltems was sent to 1988 big Japanese companies. 212 responded. Questionnaire were composed of general condition of the firm, business ethics, strategies, and organizational behavior. In addition to this questionnaire, we interviewed managers in the growing venture bus iness and renewal company from the wrong financial condition to ask about the important factors to success.Besed on these inteviews, we analyzed the questionnaire results using multivariate statistical analysis We confirmed which factors relate to the organizational decline and which factors were important to accmplish renewal. We have presented the fundamental analytical results in the journal of 'Keizai keiei Ronso' as 'Analysis of the organiztional Decline Mechanism and Turnaround Strategies.'