Study of contingent judgment and decision making process in social environments

在我们的社会生活中可以观察到权变判断和决策。本研究的目的是运用多种心理学方法考察社会环境中的权变判断和决策过程，并建立预测判断和决策现象的心理测量模型、数学模型和表征定理。首先，我们通过社会调查研究和访谈的方法，发现了社会情境的基本类型和判断和决策的背景。其次，我们发现定性和定量属性的权变判断和决策在社会环境中使用几个心理实验。第三，运用心理学实验中的过程追踪技术，我们发现了权变判断和决策中认知过程的定性特征。第四，基于实验和社会调查的实证研究结果，建立了描述权变判断和决策的心理测量模型和数学模型。最后，我们得到了一些数学模型的表示定理。这些研究结果已在国际和国内学术会议上报告。一些研究结果已发表在学术期刊和书籍上。

Contingent judgment and decision-making can be observed in our social lives. The purpose of this study is to examine contingent judgment and decision making process in social environments using several psychological methods, and to make psychometric models, mathematical models, and representation theorems for the predictions of judgment and decision phenomena. First, we found basic types of social situations and contexts of judgment and decision-making using social survey research and interview methods. Second, we found qualitative and quantitative properties of contingent judgment and decision-making in social environments using several psychological experiments. Third, we found qualitative properties of cognitive process in contingent judgment and decision-making using process-tracing techniques in psychological experiments. Fourth, based on the empirical findings through experiments and social survey, we made psychometric models and mathematical models to describe contingent judgment and decision-making. Finally, we found representation theorems of some mathematical models. These findings have been reported at international and domestic academic meetings. Some of the findings have been published in academic journals and books.