The International Comparative Study on the Trend of Low Fertility/Ageing and Marriage/Birth in Asia

2004年和2005年，我们对日本、马来西亚和越南三个国家的大学生和已婚人士进行了婚姻和出生调查。关于已婚人士的调查，我们获得了日本约1200人的调查数据，马来西亚和越南各约500人。我们于2006年3月发表了日本调查的初步报告，随后对3个国家的保税数据进行了分析，并于2006年10月28/29日在立命馆大学举行的日本社会学学会年会上做了三次研究报告。这些研究报告分别是《东亚婚姻和生育的国际比较调查》、《城市居民的生活历程：家庭与低生育率》和《亚洲三国生育率下降的过程》。在这些研究报告的基础上，已为早稻田大学的学术期刊撰写了三篇文章，目前正在审阅发表中。2007年2月28日，我们举办了“东亚和东南亚国家人口问题国际研讨会”，邀请了来自马来西亚和越南的外国合作研究人员。在这次研讨会上，发表了以下论文：《东方婚姻和生育比较研究》、《日本出生率下降》、《马来西亚城市婚姻、性别角色和生育：夸拉伦坡/八达岭再也都会区个案研究》、《越南生育率下降：趋势、差异和政策问题》。我们的研究结果证实，日本将继续保持低生育率的趋势，马来西亚的生育率将逐渐下降，但我们发现，在越南，河内大都市区的生育率下降很快。

In 2004 and 2005, we conducted Marriage and Birth survey for university students and married persons in 3 countries, Japan, Malaysia and Vietnam. Regarding the survey for married persons, we got the survey data for about 1200 persons in Japan, and about 500 each in Malaysia and Vietnam. We published preliminary report for Japan survey in March 2006, then conducted analysis for bonded data of 3 countries, and made three research presentation at the annual research meeting of the Japan Sociological Society at Ritsumeikan University in October 28/29, 2006. These research presentations are " International comparative survey of Marriage and Birth in East Asia", "Life-course of Urban residents : Family and Low-fertility" and " The process of fertility declining in 3 Asian countries."Based on these research presentation, three articles have been written for academic journal in Waseda University, and these are now under referee for publication. In February 28, 2007, we hold "International Workshop on Population Issues in East and Southeast Asian Countries", inviting foreign co-researchers from Malaysia and Vietnam. At this workshop, following papers were contributed : "Comparative Study on Marriage and Birth in the East", "Birthrate Declining in Japan", "Marriage, Gender Roles and Childbearing in Urban Malaysia : A Case Study of KualaLumpur/Petaling Jaya Metropolitan Area", "Fertility Decline in Vietnam : Trends, Differentials and Policy Issues". As result of our research, we confirmed that the trend of low fertility will continue in Japan, and the gradual decline of fertility rate in Malaysia, however, we found that in Vietnam, rapid decline of fertility were observed in Hanoi metropolitan area.