Community size estimation of Internet Forums

提出了一种能够估计网络论坛社区规模的技术，作为一种支持网络安全通信的技术。这里的社区被定义为一群在未来贡献它的人。该建议估计了尚未发帖的投稿人的数量。即使是服务器管理员也不容易做到这一点。利用群的不变涌现性质，可以通过到目前为止已经发帖的成员的数量来估计剩余成员的数量。通过使用互联网论坛的服务器负载数据和电视收视率的实验表明，该方法可以提供比仅由张贴的成员组成的社区更合理的社区。

The technique that can estimate size of the community of Internet forums as a technology to support safe communication in the Internet is proposed. The communityhere is defined as a group of person contributing it in the future. The proposedestimates the number of contributors who have not posted yet. This is not easy for eventhe administrator of the server. Using the invariant emergent property of the groupthe number of the remaining member is able to be estimated by the number of themembers who have posted so far. I showed that the proposed method can provide amore reasonable community than a community consists of only posted members by theexperiments using server load data of the internet forums and TV viewing rates.