Modelling and Predicting Land Use/Cover Changes in Japan

A)在本项目开始之前由首席调查员开发的土地利用信息系统(LUIS)进行了修订，以便在最近的地理信息系统工具的帮助下更有效地利用它。b)开发了地理信息系统和其他与土地利用/覆盖变化研究有关的分析技术。c)对现有的土地利用/覆盖变化模拟技术进行了严格审查，并开发了新的、更好的技术。d)在过去150年中，日本对土地利用/覆盖变化机制的了解有了很大改进。这是密集的实地调查、LUIS分析、相关统计数据和历史文献的结果。e)建立了日本过去150年土地利用/覆盖变化的描述性模型。f)开发了日本2020年代土地利用/覆盖变化的预测模型。已经提出了GMP模型或网格地图预测模型。g)模拟了本世纪20年代日本的土地利用/覆盖状况，并讨论了其环境和社会后果。

a) LUIS, or Land Use Information System, which was developed by the head investigator before the current project started, has been revised so that it is more effectively used with the aid of recent GIS tools.b) GIS and other analytical techniques relevant for the study of land use/cover changes have been developed.c) Existing modelling techniques for land use/cover changes have been critically reviewed, and new, better ones have been developed.d) There has been a great improvement in the understanding of the mechanisms of land use/cover changes in Japan during the last 150 years. It is the result of intensive field survey, analyses of LUIS, related statistics and historical documents.e) Descriptive models of land use/cover changes in Japan during the last 150 years have been formulated.f) Prediction models for land use/cover changes in Japan for the 2020s have been developed. GMP models, or Grid Map Prediction Models, have been proposed.g) The state of land use/cover in Japan in the 2020s has been simulated, and its environmental and social consequences have been discussed.