Ecological forecasts of species response to fire, drought and heatwaves

该项目将通过考虑极端环境事件--长期干旱、洪水、热浪和火灾--对脆弱的旱地生态系统的遗留影响如何持续到未来几年，来推进生态系统预测。由于高度紧张的环境预计将对动植物造成越来越大的影响，并加剧荒漠化，迫切需要答案来了解和减轻这些影响。这个项目将培养人们对生态系统特征的新认识，这些特征可以增强对变化的适应能力，或者导致崩溃。好处包括更好的预测工具来管理处于危险中的生态系统，改善澳大利亚牧场的生物多样性和粮食生产的安全，以及培训早期职业研究人员。

This project will advance ecosystem forecasting by accounting for how legacy effects from extreme environmental events – prolonged droughts, floods, heatwaves and fires – persist into future years in vulnerable dryland ecosystems. As highly stressed environments are expected to leave increasingly large impacts on flora and fauna and exacerbate desertification, answers are urgently needed to understand and mitigate these impacts. This project will foster new appreciation of ecosystem features that build resilience to change, or that lead to collapse. Benefits include better forecasting tools to manage ecosystems at risk, improved security of biodiversity and food production in Australian rangelands, and training of early career researchers.