OPTimising FORest management decisions for a low-carbon, climate resilient future in EUrope

要达到《巴黎协定》规定的1.5摄氏度的全球变暖门槛，并在2050年前实现《欧洲绿色协议》的气候中和目标，需要大幅减少人为排放和增加二氧化碳汇。包括老森林在内的森林提供的二氧化碳汇部分抵消了人为二氧化碳排放量的上升，为气候变化提供了大规模的缓冲。根据森林的特点和当地情况，如管理做法或生态系统服务，森林的范围可能从净二氧化碳汇到源。“为欧洲低碳、气候适应性的未来优化森林管理决策(OptFor-EU)”项目将建立一个决策支持系统(DSS)，为森林管理者和其他相关利益相关者提供量身定制的选项，以优化整个欧洲的脱碳和其他森林生态系统服务(FES)。基于对现有数据源的开发、新型基本森林减缓指标的使用以及气候驱动因素、森林应对措施和生态系统服务之间的关系，OptFor-EU有五个具体目标：(1)改进森林-气候关系和森林生态系统的特征；(2)利用以最终用户为中心的过程建模；(3)赋予森林最终用户以知情的决策能力，以提高森林的复原力和脱碳能力；(4)提供新颖的决策支持系统服务；(5)将欧盟不同的战略优先事项、稳健的科学以及森林和森林部门的利益攸关方联系起来。该方法以供需方法为基础，与所有欧洲森林类型的森林管理人员和其他实践利益攸关方一起，结合了数据合并、建模和共同开发解决方案的迭代过程。DSS将在8个案例研究领域进行设计和测试，以提供随时可用的服务，接近欧洲一级的运营(TRL7)，同时用户采用和采纳计划将最大限度地发挥社会和商业影响

Significant reductions in anthropogenic emissions and increases in CO2 sinks are needed to meet the 1.5 centigrades threshold for global warming set out in the Paris Agreement and reach the climate-neutrality goal of the European Green Deal by 2050. The CO2 sink provided by forests, including old-growth forests, partially offsets the rise in anthropogenic CO2 emissions, providing a large-scale buffer to climate change. Depending on their characteristics and local circumstances, such as management practices or ecosystem services, forests may range from net CO2 sinks to sources. The project 'OPTimising FORest management decisions for a low-carbon, climate resilient future in Europe (OptFor-EU)' will build a Decision Support System (DSS) to provide forest managers and other relevant stakeholders with tailored options for optimising decarbonisation and other Forest Ecosystem Services (FES) across Europe. Based on exploitation of existing data sources, use of novel Essential Forest Mitigation Indicators and relationships between climate drivers, forest responses and ecosystem services, OptFor-EU has five specific objectives: (1) Provide an improved characterisation of the Forest-Climate Nexus and FES; (2) Utilise end-user focused process modelling; (3) Empower forest end-users to make informed decisions to enhance forest resilience and decarbonisation; (4) Provide a novel DSS service; and (5) Bridging different EU strategic priorities, robust science, and stakeholders in the forest and forest-based sectors. Based on a supply-demand approach, the methodology combines an iterative process of data consolidation, modelling, and co-development of solutions alongside forest managers and other practice stakeholders in all European Forest Types. The DSS will be designed and tested at 8 case study areas, to provide a ready-to-use service, near to operational (TRL7) at European level, while a user adoption and up-take plan will maximise the societal and business impact