ALCOHOL DEMAND & LABOR MARKET OUTCOMES II--LABOR MARKET

申请人摘要：本部分建议的主要目标 IRPG项目是对一组假设进行详细说明和统计检验 关于酗酒与滥用酒精之间的关系 饮料和劳动力市场结果，包括劳动力供应、就业、 收入和工资。这项研究将集中于直接的问题，即如何 酒精消费和问题饮酒影响劳动力市场结果和 间接问题，例如，价格和税收政策如何影响 劳动力市场通过其对消费的影响而产生的结果。在这些人中 拟议研究的创新是它(通过IRPG)合成了 迄今的研究方法和结果在很大程度上是分开的 关于酒精饮料需求和酒精影响的领域 消费和饮酒问题对劳动力市场的成功。 这项研究将利用第一波全国调查中成年人的数据 酒精纵向流行病学调查(NLAES-I)，1991-92年间进行。 拟议研究的基本分析背景是劳动经济学。 评估劳动力供应和结构决定因素的传统 生产力。该项目的合成成分将使增强的 对酒精需求关系的估计允许更一致的 对酒精对劳动力市场影响的经验视角 之前尝试过的。这项研究将采用最先进的统计方法 估计这种关系的关键参数的方法，以得出 推论，并检验假设的“拟合度”。 经验关系。 因为与滥用酒精饮料相关的社会成本是 现在通常被认为是巨大的，关于关系的信息，比如 这些将在拟议的研究中进行审查的内容在 努力以合理的方式针对预防工作。从一个 从成本效益的角度来看，显然有一个连贯的 意识到如果稀缺的资源 合理分配。拟议研究的结果将提供一个 这是解决其中一些问题的可靠基础。

APPLICANT'S ABSTRACT: The main objective of this component of the proposed IRPG project is to specify and test statistically a set of hypotheses regarding the relationships between the use and misuse of alcoholic beverages and labor market outcomes, including labor supply, employment, earnings, and wages. The study will focus on the direct questions of how alcohol consumption and problem drinking affect labor market outcomes and the indirect questions of, for example, how price and tax policies affect labor market outcomes via their impacts on consumption. Among the innovations in the proposed research is its synthesis (via the IRPG) of methodologies and results from the heretofore largely separate research areas on the demand for alcoholic beverages and the effects of alcohol consumption and problem drinking on labor market success. The study will utilize data on adults from the first wave of the National Longitudinal Alcohol Epidemiologic Survey (NLAES-I), conducted in 1991-92. The basic analytical context of the proposed study is in the labor economics tradition of assessing the structural determinants of labor supply and productivity. The project's synthetic component will allow the enhanced estimates of alcohol demand relationships to permit a more consistent empirical perspective on alcohol's labor market effects than has been previously attempted. The study will employ state-of-the-art statistical methodologies to estimate the key parameters of such relationships, to draw inferences thereabout, and to test the "goodness of fit" of the postulated empirical relationships. Since the social costs associated with the misuse of alcoholic beverages are now generally regarded to be huge, information about relationships like those to be examined in the proposed research is of central importance in efforts to target prevention efforts in a reasonable manner. From a cost-effectiveness perspective it is clearly essential to have a coherent sense of what prevention efforts accomplish if scarce resources are to be sensibly allocated. The results of the proposed study will provide a reliable basis for addressing some of these issues.