Metrocare: Strategic decision-making for integrated urban infrastructure

世界各地的城市都面临着长期的战略挑战，即在应对社会和经济变化和挑战的同时，提供大规模的物质基础设施发展。为了切实有效地执行这些重大方案，必须彻底评估投资决定，并适当了解其影响。这些决定不仅需要在具体发展领域的背景下作出，而且需要在更广泛的城市背景下作出，并从长远来看。决策者需要考虑到高层次的因素，如不断变化的人口结构，政治，经济和可持续发展的驱动因素，技术进步等，他们需要了解和应对对现有基础设施和服务，环境和经济的影响，以及社会影响，如居民，工人和游客的健康和福祉。目前，这些“城市系统”往往是孤立的，因此，投资决策可能无法认识到城市不仅仅是其部分的总和，这可能导致基础设施发展的错误，可能需要几十年才能纠正。Metrocare解决方案解决了这些挑战。它包括基于ICT的交互式城市发展场景创建和可视化功能，可与领先的城市系统模型和支持特定于部署位置和背景的数据集进行互操作。Metrocare将使城市决策者和利益相关者能够定义和评估可选的投资方案，作为基础设施开发项目规划/审批过程的一部分。可以创建初始场景，为互操作模型提供输入参数和输出要求，从而创建更丰富的场景，使决策者能够更好地了解战略规划决策对城市地区长期整体“绩效”的影响。Metrocare已准备好作为迭代基础设施投资场景创建和评估过程的一部分进行部署。迄今为止开展的工作表明，全球都需要这样一种解决方案;它广泛适用于所有城市和区域，因为它们正在适应经济、环境和社会变化的新需求。然而，还需要开发商业模式（成本、市场增长、与城市系统和数据的一致性、编纂、技能/培训等），以开发一个商业版本，该版本可以在许多城市环境中以及价值链不同部分的组织中进行广泛调整和部署。该项目将由英国中小企业股9领导，该股将提供交互式情景创造能力（建立在创新英国资助的“BIMCity”项目的基础上）。剑桥大学、斯堪斯卡和英国建筑研究所将提供城市系统模型（例如土地使用、交通、能源、建筑存量、水、环境和经济以及卫生、教育、犯罪和社区福祉）。用例将由城市利益相关者提供（例如，哈林盖理事会、GLA和剑桥县理事会，围绕规划的发展提供强有力的上下文焦点）。如果资金申请成功，可邀请其他利益攸关方，如基础设施/公用事业所有者和管理人员参加。

Cities throughout the world face long term strategic challenges in delivering large scale physical infrastructure development whilst addressing social and economic changes and challenges. In delivering such major programmes efficiently and effectively it is essential that investment decisions are thoroughly assessed and their impacts properly understood. These decisions need to be taken not only in the context of the specific development area but also that of the wider city, and over the long term. Decision makers need to take account of high-level factors such as changing demographics, political, economic and sustainability drivers, advances in technology etc. They need to understand and react to impacts on existing infrastructure and services, the environment and economy as well as social impacts such as health and wellbeing of residents, workers and visitors. Currently these ‘city systems’ are often siloed and, as a consequence, investment decisions can fail to recognise that the city is more than the sum of its parts, potentially leading to errors in infrastructure development that can take decades to correct. The Metrocare solution addresses these challenges. It comprises of an ICT-based, interactive urban development scenario creation and visualisation capability which interoperates with leading urban system models and supporting datasets that are specific to the location and context of the deployment. Metrocare will enable city decision makers and stakeholders to define and assess optional investment scenarios as part of the planning/approvals process for infrastructure development projects. Initial scenarios can be created, providing input parameters and output requirements for interoperating models that, in turn, create richer scenarios allowing decision makers to better understand the impact of strategic planning decisions on the overall ‘performance’ of city districts in the long term. Metrocare is ready to deploy as part of an iterative infrastructure investment scenario creation and assessment process. Work carried out to date indicates that there is a global demand for such a solution; it is widely applicable to all cities and regions as they adapt to the emerging needs of the economy, the environment and changes in society. However, work is needed to develop business models (cost, market growth, alignment with city systems and data, codification, skills/training etc) for the development of a commercial version that can readily be adapted and deployed widely in many urban environments and by organisations in different parts of the value chain. The project will be led by UK SME Unit9 who will provide the interactive scenario creation capability (building on the Innovate UK-funded ‘BIMCity’ project). Cambridge University, Skanska and BRE will provide city system models (e.g. land use, transport, energy, building stock, water, environment and economy as well as health, education, crime and community wellbeing). Use cases will be provided by city stakeholders (e.g. Haringey Council, the GLA and Cambridge County Council, providing a strong contextual focus based around planned developments). Other stakeholders, such as infrastructure/utilities owners and managers, may be invited to participate if the application for funding is successful.