LIFE CYCLE FERTILITY AND FEMALE LABOR FORCE EXPERIENCE

这项研究计划的目的是增进我们对 生育率与女性劳动力参与度的动态关系 在整个生命周期中。为此，我们提出了一个三阶段的项目。 我们将首先建立生育率和劳动力的理论模型。 从经济角度看整个生命周期的参与决策。 该模型将表征这两者的最优决策规则 考虑到未来的不确定性，在生命周期的每一种状态下的选择 收入和怀孕，并将明确纳入妇女的 在早期通过市场工作获得市场人力资本的激励措施 生命周期。接下来，我们将开发这些决策的计量经济模型 明确将理论结构参数化的规则有 易处理，并可应用于女性的纵向数据 他们的生育年龄。最后，我们提出了一个实证分析。 这些模型使用收入动态小组研究的数据进行测试 从我们的理论中得出的假设并检验人口统计学的影响 以及妇女受孕和分娩的背景特征 在生命周期中强制做出参与决策。

The objective of this research plan is to improve our undrstanding of the dynamic relationship between fertility and female labor force participation over the life cycle. Toward this end, we propose a three stage project. We shall first develop theoretical models of fertility and labor force participation decisions over the life cycle from an economic perspective. The model will characterize optimal decision rules for both of these choices at each state of the lif cycle, given uncertainty about future income and conception and will explicitly incorporate the woman's incentives for gaining market human capital via market work early in the life cycle. We next will develop econometric models of these decision rules which explicitly parameterize the theoretical structure, are tractable, and which can be applied to longitudinal data on females during their childbearing years. Finally, we propose an empirical analysis of these models using data from the Panel Study of Income Dynamics to test hypotheses derived from our theory and to examine the impact of demographic and background characteristics of women upon their conception and labor force participation decisions over the life cycle.