Dynamic Environment Prediction: safe launch and recovery in high sea states: Part of The Launch and Recovery Co-Creation Initiative.

该项目是与EPSRC合作的工业财团选择的少数提案之一，将作为EPSRC启动和恢复共同创造计划的完整提案进行推进。它涉及埃克塞特大学和南安普敦大学、斯克里普斯海洋学研究所（美国）、BAE系统公司、国防部和OCEANWAVES（德国）之间的合作。它得到了一个指导/传播小组的支持，该小组包括：BAE系统公司、国防部、SEA有限公司、Zenotech和ESI集团。实际的驱动因素是使更大范围的波浪限制海上作业能够在比目前可行的更高海况下安全进行。特别重要的例子是小船的母船、有人驾驶和无人驾驶的飞行器以及潜水器的发射和回收行动。研究涉及两个耦合领域：(a)预测海浪的实际形状，称为确定性海浪预测，并将其应用于预测其他大海域的平静期（静息期预测），以及(b)对这种静息期的性质进行全面调查并创建静息模拟器。该研究涉及具有挑战性的基础新理论、模拟、大规模数据分析和实验测试的综合结合。工业指导小组提供了一个应用程序监督，旨在促进项目后的最佳推进，使其达到更高的技术准备水平。英国国防部和BAE系统公司也是研究合作伙伴。这项研究将为EPSRC发射和回收共同创造计划中密切相关的项目提供所需的预测海浪环境信息，这些项目旨在(a)模拟小型船只在母船近波/流场中的运动，以及(b)控制发射和回收操作。这门新科学的另一种应用是对波浪能转换器的最佳控制，在这种情况下，单位成本的性能有可能大幅提高（见影响案例）。

This project is one of the small number of proposals selected by an industrial consortium in collaboration with EPSRC to go forward as full proposals to the EPSRC Launch and Recovery Co-Creation Initiative. It involves a collaboration between Exeter and Southampton Universities, Scripps Institution of Oceanography (USA), BAE Systems, MOD and OCEANWAVES (Germany). It is supported by a mentoring/dissemination group comprising: BAE Systems, MOD, SEA Ltd, Zenotech and ESI Group. The practical driver is to enable a wide range of wave limited maritime operations to be carried out safely at higher sea states than is presently feasible. Particularly important examples are launch and recovery operations from mother ships of small boats, manned and unmanned air vehicles, and submersibles. The research concerns the two coupled areas of: (a) predicting the actual shape of sea waves, termed Deterministic Sea Wave Prediction and the application of this to predicting calmer periods in otherwise large seas (Quiescent Period Prediction), and (b) a comprehensive investigation of the properties of such quiescent periods and the creation of a quiescence simulator. The research involves an integrated combination of challenging fundamental new theory, simulation, large scale data analysis and experimental testing. An applications oversight, designed to facilitate post project the optimum push through to higher technology readiness levels, is provided by the industrial mentoring panel. MOD and BAE Systems are also research partners. The research will provide the predicted wave environment information required by closely allied projects within this EPSRC Launch and Recovery Co-Creation Initiative which are aimed at (a) modelling the motion of small craft in the near wave/flow field of a parent vessel and (b) control of launch and recovery operations. An alternative application of the new science is in the optimal control of wave energy converters where large increases in performance per unit cost are possible (see the impact case).