The value of Interconnection in a Changing EU Electricity system

投资新的欧洲互联能力是将可再生能源和核电站纳入英国和爱尔兰电力系统的一项战略，通过出口实现其价值最大化，并通过进口满足需求高峰。该项目旨在通过调查五个假设，评估英国与欧盟27国和挪威的互联价值，研究英国和爱尔兰的单一电力市场。扩大gb连接的互联将降低英国和欧盟的电力成本（27.2英镑）。2 .互连器的运营价值将受到英国脱欧后市场关系的影响（例如，英国与欧洲能源联盟和爱尔兰单一电力市场的关系）。平衡市场可能是互连者未来重要的收入来源。先前的互连模型研究错误地解释了由整个大陆范围内可再生能源的增加和其他系统进化引起的虚假相关性。英国脱欧谈判的结果将影响到英国与欧盟之间以及北爱尔兰与爱尔兰共和国之间在安全和成本方面的最佳投资水平。ETM-UCL欧洲能源系统模型和ANTARES欧洲电力调度模型被用于评估英国与欧盟27国和挪威之间现有和新的互联的潜在效益，以适应英国脱欧后的一系列政策环境。正在评估互联和可再生能源对电力系统稳定性的影响。GCDCN模型改编自神经科学，正在开发中，以确定英国和欧盟27国市场互联投资与价格变化之间的因果关系。这为改进监管模式和投资商业案例分析提供了基础。

Investing in new European interconnection capacity is one strategy to integrate renewables and nuclear power stations in the electricity systems of GB and Ireland, by maximising their value through exports and meeting demand peaks through imports.This project aims to assess the value of UK interconnectors to the EU-27 and Norway, examining both the GB and the Irish Single Electricity markets, by investigating five hypotheses:1. Expanding GB-linked interconnectors would reduce the cost of electricity for both the UK and the EU-27.2. The operational value of interconnectors will be affected by post-Brexit market relationships (e.g. the GB relationship with the European Energy Union and the Irish Single Electricity market).3. Balancing markets could be an important future source of revenue for interconnectors.4. Previous interconnection modelling studies have misinterpreted spurious correlations caused by continent-wide increases in renewables and other system evolutions.5. The optimal level of investment in GB and I-SEM interconnectors, and between Northern Ireland and the Republic of Ireland, in terms of both security and cost, will be affected by the outcome of Brexit negotiations.The ETM-UCL European energy system model and the ANTARES European electricity dispatch model are being used to assess the potential benefits of existing and new interconnection between the UK and the EU-27 and Norway, for a range of post-Brexit policy environments. The impact of interconnectors and renewables on electricity system stability is being assessed.The GCDCN model, adapted from neuroscience, is being developed to identify causal relationships between interconnection investments and price variations across UK and EU-27 markets. This provides a foundation for improving regulatory models and investment business case analyses.