GCRF_NF278 Building evidence on households, firms and value chains to support economic policy decisions under COVID-19

IGC与九个国家的政策制定者合作，确定了关键的研究问题，以了解COVID-19如何影响他们的经济，如何加快经济复苏，应该实施哪些政策干预以及如何向最需要帮助的人提供援助。我们的联合调查员，总部设在指定的DAC名单国家，是独一无二的定位，以实现与政策制定者合作伙伴共同产生的方法来设计研究项目，将在未来18个月内为关键政策决策提供信息，从而最大限度地发挥研究的影响。我们的首席研究员，IGC的研究总监，将利用IGC的世界级研究人员网络与合作研究人员合作，设计高质量和强大的研究。这一提议将使我们能够资助大约30项单独研究，所有研究都针对政策制定者合作伙伴的首要优先事项，并以我们已经启动的34项COVID研究为基础。研究将结合联合收割机现有的行政数据，这些数据是联合调查员可以很好地访问和熟悉的，以及通过电话调查获得的新数据。数据优先事项包括监测价值链、公司和家庭的经济活动，以及衡量政策干预对经济行为主体的有效性。我们将把数据和研究结果反馈给我们现有的政策制定者联系人，包括监测仪表板、信息图表和适当的政策选项，以促进参与国的实时、循证决策。本项目下将开展的两项主要研究活动是：- 监测和跟踪经济活动，重点关注封锁后的经济复苏，通过对行政数据和使用精心设计的电话调查工具生成的新调查数据进行描述性分析。所进行的分析将有助于确定哪些企业和家庭受经济危机影响最大，它们面临的主要制约因素以及它们需要政府提供的支持。结果将通过一系列仪表板和高频政策报告直接提供给政策制定者。测试政策干预措施的有效性，方法是建立在以前随机对照试验的样本框架上，以衡量当前干预措施的影响，并在适当和可行的情况下，衡量与决策者共同产生的新干预措施的影响。当地和联合王国的研究人员进行的比较分析将利用政策干预的跨国和跨部门差异来评估这些干预的有效性。

IGC has worked with policymakers in the nine named countries to identify key research questions to understand how COVID-19 is impacting their economy, how the economic recovery can be accelerated, which policy interventions should be implemented and how assistance should be provided to those most in need.Our Co-Investigators, based in the named DAC-list countries, are uniquely positioned to implement a co-generation approach with policymaker partners to design research projects that will inform key policy decisions in the next 18 months and so will maximise impact from the research.Our Principal Investigator, IGC's Research Director, will leverage IGC's network of world class researchers to work with Co-Investigators to design high quality and robust research. This proposal will enable us to fund around 30 individual studies, all addressing first order priorities for policymaker partners, and building on the 34 COVID studies we have already launched.Research will combine existing administrative data, which Co-Investigators have good access to and familiarity with, and new data through phone surveys. Data priorities include monitoring value chains, firms and households' economic activity, and measuring the effectiveness of policy interventions on economic agents. We will feed data and research findings back to our existing policymaker contacts, including monitoring dashboards, infographics and appropriate policy options, to facilitate real-time, evidence-based decision making in the participating countries.The two main research activities to be carried out under this project are:- Monitoring and tracking economic activity, focusing on the post-lockdown economic recovery, through descriptive analysis of administrative data and of new survey data generated using carefully designed survey instruments implemented by phone. The analysis carried out will help identify which firms and households are most affected by the economic crisis, the main constraints they are facing and the support they need fromgovernments. Results will be made directly available to policymakers through a series of dashboards and high frequency policy reports.- Testing the effectiveness of policy interventions by building on sample frames from previous randomized control trials to measure the impact of current interventions and, where appropriate and feasible, of new interventions co-generated with policy makers. Comparative analysis undertaken by local and UK-based researchers will use crosscountry and cross-sector variation in policy interventions to assess the effectiveness of these interventions.