Regime change: when and how do ecological subordinates turn dominant?

该项目旨在通过开发机制模型来预测变化，并史无前例地在自然酸化地点进行长期实验，以了解海洋酸化和气候变暖对海带森林的影响，从而弥合海带森林物种的生理和生态差距。生态系统的变化是物理和化学环境十年变化的常见结果。虽然这些变化往往涉及生产状态的退化，但我们对推动变化的机制了解很少。海洋系统中的关键应激源，海洋酸化和变暖被预测会导致海藻森林的丧失，但我们仍然不理解这些预测的现实情况。

This project aims to bridge the gap between physiology and ecology in kelp forest species by developing mechanistic models to predict change and, in an unprecedented step, test them in long-term experiments at naturally acidified sites to understand the consequences of ocean acidification (OA) and warming for kelp forests. Ecosystem change is a frequent outcome of decadal modifications of the physical and chemical environment. Whilst these changes often involve degradation from productive states, we have a poor understanding of the mechanisms which drive change. Key stressors in marine systems, OA and warming are predicted to drive loss of kelp forests but we still don't understand the reality of these predictions.