Families, households and health in ageing populations: Projections and implications

该项目侧重于老年人的家庭和家庭状况，将有助于了解面对人口结构变化，代际关系是如何运作的，以及老年人家庭和家庭状况的变化对住房和护理需求有何影响。我们将对丰富的纵向数据进行分析，包括晚年社会和生物数据，以及回溯的生命历程信息，以更好地了解家庭、家庭、健康和老年群体健康不平等之间的复杂相互联系。我们还将调查提供各种类型的帮助，包括来自家庭的支持、合适的住房和经济援助，如何影响健康的生物指标与进行基本日常活动困难之间的关系。这将有助于规划服务，使老年人即使有各种健康问题也能继续进行日常活动。在此基础上，我们将使用创新的家庭预测模型，按家庭、家庭、健康和残疾状况提供对英国和中国老年人口的预测。这种预测对于规划满足老龄人口的保健、住房和护理需求至关重要，因为与残疾状况、生活安排和家庭支助一起，是国家提供或市场提供的长期护理的使用和费用的主要决定因素。与与子女和/或配偶同住的老年人相比，独居的残疾老年人对家庭有偿服务的需求要高得多，老年人的社会联系和接受家庭帮助与子女的数量和性别有关。因此，中国-英国生物社会合作项目将有助于建立解决老龄化社会面临的健康和社会挑战所需的知识库。

This project focusses on the family and household situation of older people and will contribute to understanding how intergenerational relationships operate in the face of demographic change and what are the implications for housing and care needs of changes in the family and household circumstances of older people. We will undertake analyses of rich longitudinal data, including later-life social and biological data, and retrospective life course information, to better understand the complex interlinkages between families, household, health and health inequality in older age groups. We will also investigate how the relationship between biological measures of health and difficulties in undertaking essential everyday activities may be influenced by provision of various types of help, including support from family, suitable housing and financial help. This will help with planning services that enable older people to carry on with every day activities even if they have various health problems. Building on this, we will provide forecasts of the older populations of the UK and China by family, household, health and disability status using innovatory household projection models. Such forecasts are essential for planning to meet the health, housing and care needs of ageing populations as, together with disability status, living arrangements and family support are major determinants of the use and costs of state provided or market sourced long-term care. Disabled elders living alone have much higher needs for paid services in the home than those who live with children and/or a spouse and older persons' social contacts and receipt of family help are associated with both number and gender of children. This China-UK biosocial collaborative project will thus contribute to building the knowledge base needed to address the health and social challenges facing ageing societies.