[FINANCE] Wind Risk Forecasting for Forest Investments

这一前沿和跨学科项目有助于解决森林损失风险与投资者对亚马逊森林资产信心之间的关键知识差距。该项目代表了爱丁堡大学（Patenaude）、森林研究（Gardiner, Perks）和ForestRe （Cottle）之间的新颖合作，并借鉴了森林科学、保险、风险评估、建模和地球观测方面的专业知识。拟议的研究区域位于巴西南部。重点将放在碳造林机构投资的风风险管理上，涉及3种森林管理类型（fmt）：商业生物质管理、社区管理的木材燃料林业和亚马逊天然林。这项工作的潜在经济影响是相当大的，因为这种类型的研究有助于为林业提供更稳定和“传统”的投资环境，使其成为主流。对于像forest这样的保险公司来说，这应该有助于将林业从边缘业务变成像航空、汽车、人寿和养老金一样普遍的业务线。

This frontier and interdisciplinary project contributes to addressing a critical knowledge gap between forest-loss risks and investor confidence in Amazonian forest assets. The project represents a novel collaboration between University of Edinburgh (Patenaude), Forest Research (Gardiner, Perks) and ForestRe (Cottle), and draws on expertise in forest science, insurance, risk assessment, modelling and earth observation. The proposed study area is in southern Brazil. The key focus will be on managing wind risk for institutional investment in carbon afforestation, across 3 Forest Management Types (FMTs): commercial biomass management, community managed woodfuel forestry & Amazonian natural forest. The potential economic impact of this exercise are considerable, as this type of research contributes to delivering a more stable and 'conventional' investment environment for forestry, enabling it to become mainstream. For insurers such as ForestRe, this should assist in bringing forestry from the margins of business to a business line as common as aviation, motor, or life and pensions.