GCRF Urban Disaster Risk Hub

该中心将减少未来城市穷人的灾害风险。未能将灾害风险抵御能力纳入城市规划和决策，是一个持续存在的棘手挑战，使世界上数亿穷人的生活和生计继续遭受周期性破坏。它是在扩大城市系统方面实现可持续发展目标的主要障碍。科学和技术可以提供帮助，但只能针对发展中国家城市生活复杂的多种灾害背景以及决策的社会和文化背景。与城市当局的决策支持共同产生并适当整合的科学城市化，为全球数百万穷人提供了风险敏感发展的可能性。这是一个重大机遇--预计到2030年将成为城市的地区中约有60%尚未建成。我们的目标是通过国际治理组织的合作，在四个合作城市和全球范围内促进从危机管理到风险知情规划的转变。该中心从一开始就与当地和国际利益攸关方共同设计，将通过对四个城市系统--伊斯坦布尔、加德满都、内罗毕和基多--的综合研究来实现这一议程，这四个城市系统是根据其多种灾害风险以及城市形态、发展状况和治理的多样性而选择的。从以前的全球挑战研究基金，牛顿基金和英国研究理事会项目提供了坚实的基础上，城市为基础的研究项目已经围绕确定的，现有的，政策干预措施，提供研究解决方案，以具体的当前发展问题的核心伙伴关系。我们开发了创新的、战略性的研究和影响力基金，并建立了有能力的管理流程，以不断监测进展情况，并加强成功的研究方向和影响力途径。在每个城市系统中，该中心将通过以下方式为100万至400万人降低风险：（1）共同制作风险根源的法医检查，脆弱性的驱动因素和关键历史性多灾害事件决策文化的趋势分析。(2)利用地球观测、公民科学、低成本传感器和高分辨率调查方面的进展，将定量、多灾害强度、暴露和脆弱性分析与机构和力量分析相结合，使多灾害风险评估与城市规划文化和工程相结合。(3)召集不同的利益相关者团体-社区，学校，市政当局，私营企业，国家机构-围绕对多重危害城市灾害风险的新理解，刺激参与和创新，做出风险敏感的发展选择，以帮助实现可持续发展目标和仙台框架。影响将在枢纽的生命周期内和生命周期外发生，并将提高城市在全球风险分析和政策制定中的可见度。城市伙伴关系将城市当局、研究人员、社区领导人和私营部门结合起来，将制定和拥有各种举措，包括反映个人经验并为城市发展规划提供信息的高分辨率、经过验证的多种灾害风险模型、监测、评价和审计灾害风险的工具和方法，以及为规划政策提出建议，以减轻未来发展中的风险。城市伙伴关系将与国家和区域城市网络、政策倡导者和联合国机构合作，利用研究成果构建城市和社区计划，以响应仙台框架和有针对性的可持续发展目标指标，并建立报告方法和能力，并对可持续发展目标和仙台报告过程进行更广泛的批评。遗产将通过城市和国际合作伙伴拥有风险评估和复原力建设工具来实现，他们将在枢纽的生命周期结束后确定需求，拥有，修改和部署工具。

The Hub will reduce disaster risk for the poor in tomorrow's cities. The failure to integrate disaster risk resilience into urban planning and decision-making is a persistent intractable challenge that condemns hundreds of millions of the World's poor to continued cyclical destruction of their lives and livelihoods. It presents a major barrier to the delivery of the Sustainable Development Goals in expanding urban systems. Science and technology can help, but only against complex multi-hazard context of urban life and the social and cultural background to decision-making in developing countries. Science-informed urbanisation, co-produced and properly integrated with decision support for city authorities, offers the possibility of risk-sensitive development for millions of the global poor. This is a major opportunity - some 60% of the area expected to be urban by 2030 is yet to be built. Our aim is to catalyse a transition from crisis management to risk-informed planning in four partner cities and globally through collaborating International governance organisations. The Hub, co-designed with local and international stakeholders from the start, will deliver this agenda through integrated research across four urban systems - Istanbul, Kathmandu, Nairobi and Quito - chosen for their multi-hazard exposure, and variety of urban form, development status and governance. Trusted core partnerships from previous Global Challenge Research Fund, Newton Fund and UK Research Council projects provide solid foundations on which city based research projects have been built around identified, existing, policy interventions to provide research solutions to specific current development problems. We have developed innovative, strategic research and impact funds and capable management processes constantly to monitor progress and to reinforce successful research directions and impact pathways.In each urban system, the Hub will reduce risk for 1-4 million people by (1) Co-producing forensic examinations of risk root causes, drivers of vulnerability and trend analysis of decision-making culture for key, historic multi-hazard events. (2) Combining quantitative, multi-hazard intensity, exposure and vulnerability analysis using advances in earth observation, citizen science, low cost sensors and high-resolution surveys with institutional and power analysis to allow multi-hazard risk assessment to interface with urban planning culture and engineering. (3) Convene diverse stakeholder groups-communities, schools, municipalities private enterprise, national agencies- around new understanding of multi-hazard urban disaster risk stimulating engagement and innovation in making risk-sensitive development choices to help meet the SDGs and Sendai Framework. Impact will occur both within and beyond the life of the Hub and will raise the visibility of cities in global risk analysis and policy making. City Partnerships, integrating city authorities, researchers, community leaders and the private sector, will develop and own initiatives including high-resolution validated models of multi-hazard risk to reflect individual experience and inform urban development planning, tools and methods for monitoring, evaluation and audit of disaster risk, and recommendations for planning policy to mitigate risks in future development. City partnerships will collaborate with national and regional city networks, policy champions and UN agencies using research outputs to structure city and community plans responding to the Sendai Framework and targeted SDG indicators, and build methods and capacity for reporting and wider critique of the SDG and Sendai reporting process. Legacy will be enabled through the ownership of risk assessment and resilience building tools by city and international partners who will identify need, own, modify and deploy tools beyond the life of the Hub.