Exploring the Impacts of Climatic Change on Perennial Crop Species

气候变化对农业系统的影响预计将成为满足不断增长的全球人口需求的主要障碍。与一年生作物相比，多年生作物的研究很少，因此气候变化对葡萄（Vitis vinifera L.）和可可（Theobroma可可豆L.）等物种的影响了解较少。然而，随着包括新的卫星测量和气候模式在内的数据集的时空分辨率不断提高，现在可以利用平均和极端气候的变化，在农业相关的尺度上开始预测气候变化对非年际系统的影响。因此，该项目将使用机械模型来更好地理解气候变化是如何影响多年生作物的产量和质量的，无论这种影响是好是坏。这随后将有助于制定缓解战略，这些战略将用于帮助为未来多年生作物的生产提供信息。该项目属于BBSRC“农业与粮食安全”战略优先领域，结合了“可持续提高农业生产”和“生物科学系统方法”的响应模式优先领域。

Climate change impacts on agricultural systems are predicted to be a major impediment to meeting the needs of the growing global population. In comparison to annual crops, perennial crops are little studied and thus the impacts of changing climate is less well understood on species such as grapes (Vitis vinifera L.) and cacoa (Theobroma cacao L.). However, with increasing temporal and spatial resolution of datasets including new satellite measurements and climate models, the data are now available to start to predict the impact of changing climate on non-annual systems on an agriculturally relevant scale using both the changes in mean and extreme climates. As a result, this project will use mechanistic modelling to better understand how, for better or worse, climate change will affect the yield and quality of perennial crops. This will subsequently enable the production of mitigation strategies which will be used to help inform the future production of perennial crops. This project falls under the BBSRC Strategic Priority Area of 'Agriculture and Food Security', incorporating the responsive mode priorities 'Sustainably enhancing agricultural production' and 'Systems approaches to the biosciences'.