Life Beyond Net-Zero: An investigation into the deployment of renewable and negative emission technologies

开展这项研究的一个可能方法是使用UK-TIMES初步模拟netzeroscenarios，模拟期为2010年至2050年。在此期间，将定义多种情景，共同目标是到2050年实现净零排放，符合当前的英国碳预算，并具有当前可用的技术可能性输入。对于每一种情况，该模型将确定能源系统成本最低的脱碳路线，以及能源结构和相关成本等因素。在2050年开始的第二个阶段，可以通过政策目标设定不同的目标，例如完全零排放或负排放目标，这与现实的基本情景相结合，将允许对情景进行比较，并调查NET的主要驱动因素（在此背景下）。这些设想方案的结果将显示每五年一次和这一时间范围结束时的能源技术组合、生产和消费、温室气体排放、投资水平和系统成本等。此外，还将探讨可再生能源、净能源和化石燃料之间的关系，以及不同水平的可再生能源和净能源对能源系统的影响。

One possible method for carrying out this research would be to initially model netzeroscenarios using UK-TIMES, with a modelling period of 2010 to 2050. For this period,multiple scenarios would be defined, with the common goal of net-zero emissions by 2050,in line with current U.K Carbon Budgets, and with currently available technologicalpossibilities input. For each scenario the model would identify the least-costdecarbonisation route for the energy system, alongside the energy mix, and costsassociated, among other factors. During the second period starting in 2050, different goalscould be set via policy targets, such as full-zero or negative emissions targets, whichalongside a realistic base scenario, would allow for scenarios to be compared and the maindrivers of NETs (within this context) to be investigated. The results of these scenarios wouldshow the energy technology mix, production and consumption, greenhouse gas emissions,investment levels and system costs (among others) at five-year intervals and the end of thetime horizon. Additionally, relationships between REs, NETs, and fossil fuels, and the effectsof varying levels of REs and NETs on the energy system will also be explored.