Public health benefits and challenges of Glasgow's transition to climate resilience: Systems science and data analytics

摘要：气候变化是21世纪世界面临的最大公共卫生威胁，气候变化对健康的影响在国家之间、国家和城市内部、富人和穷人之间分布不均。要实现气候适应能力，就必须在私人和公共生活的大多数领域进行重大变革，包括商业和工作、规划、建筑、住房、交通、食品、数字连接和公共服务的提供方式。根据设计和实施的方式，所需的全面解决办法可能对身心健康和健康不平等产生积极和消极的影响，但受影响最严重的健康状况、未来健康问题的广度和严重程度以及这些问题出现的时间框架在很大程度上仍然未知。这一重大转型时期为格拉斯哥的领导者和变革者提供了一个设计解决方案的机会，这些解决方案不仅可以解决生态挑战，还可以通过解决健康的社会、经济和环境决定因素来创造协同效益。该博士学位是NERC改变环境研究项目的一部分。利用系统科学和数据科学方法，它旨在1)评估气候变化缓解对格拉斯哥居民身心健康的潜在直接和间接短期和长期影响，2)考虑GALLANT工作方案和/或城市合作伙伴（例如绿色交易，宜居社区）开发的解决方案可能对健康和健康不平等的影响，以及3)审查并汇集纵向的，空间明确的健康数据。社会和环境条件，并调查如何使用这些数据来确定迄今为止气候变化如何影响格拉斯哥居民的健康，并为未来的预测和干预规划提供信息。

Studentship strategic priority area:Environment, pollution and human healthKeywords: Climate adaptation, climate mitigation, urban analytics, public health, inequalities Abstract: Climate change is the greatest public health threat facing the 21st century world, and the effects of climate change on health are unequally distributed between countries, and within countries and cities, between rich and poor. Climate resilience cannot be achieved without major transformations in most areas of private and public life, including business and work, planning, construction, housing, mobility, food, digital connectivity and the way public services are delivered. Depending on how they are designed and implemented, the wholesale solutions required may have both positive and negative effects on physical and mental health and health inequalities, but the health conditions most affected, the breadth and magnitude of future health problems and the time frame over which these problems will manifest remain largely unknown.This period of major transition provides Glasgow's leaders and changemakers with an opportunity to design solutions that solve not just the ecological challenges but that create co-benefits through addressing the social, economic and environmental determinants of health. This PhD is part of the NERC Changing the Environment GALLANT programme of research. Using system science and data science approaches, it aims to 1) assess the potential direct and indirect short- and long-term impacts of climate change mitigation on the physical and mental health of Glasgow residents, and 2) consider possible health and health inequality impacts of solutions developed by GALLANT work packages and/or City partners (e.g. Green Deal, Liveable Neighbourhoods) and 3) To review and bring together longitudinal, spatially explicit data on health, social and environmental conditions and investigate how such data can be used to determine how climate change has affected Glasgow residents' health to date and to inform future projections and intervention planning.