Integrative Ecology

在过去的15年里，生物多样性科学在预测全球变化对生物多样性的范围变化、灭绝风险和未来分布的影响方面取得了令人印象深刻的进展。对“生物多样性情景”模拟的需求推动了生态学，传统上侧重于描述和理解过程，走向更具预测性的科学。尽管人们对这些情景很感兴趣，但大多数建模方法仍然受到批评，因为它们没有将已知影响生物多样性分布的关键过程和关键生态系统过程结合起来。我的研究计划的总体目标是促进理论和建模工具的发展，以更好地预测全球变化对生物多样性的影响及其为人类提供的关键服务。

There has been an impressive progress in biodiversity science over the last fifteen years to predict the impacts of global changes on range shifts, extinction risks and the future distribution of biodiversity. The demand for simulations of "biodiversity scenarios" has pushed ecology, traditionally focused on the description and understanding of processes, towards a more predictive science. Despite the enthusiasm for these scenarios, most of the modelling approaches are still criticized for not integrating key processes known to impact biodiversity distribution and key ecosystem processes. The general objective of my research program is to contribute the development of theories and modelling tools to better predict global change impacts on biodiversity and the key services it provides to humans.