Global Change Ecology

了解生物多样性如何应对全球环境变化的加速速度是21世纪的关键科学挑战之一。尽管对气候变化的生态反应进行了许多观察，但我们缺乏能够指导适应性管理和决策的预测性理解。这一挑战设定了桑德教授的研究议程：她使用数据科学、理论和受控实验将生物体的生理反应与调节种群动态、生态相互作用和群落变化的过程联系起来，以更好地预测生物对气候危机的反应。SUNDAY教授对未来五年的愿景是开发三个相互关联的研究轴，以应对气候变化生物地理学前沿的关键挑战，总结为三个相互关联的研究轴。研究轴1是开发和改进环境DNA元生物编码(EDNA)的使用，以跟踪海洋中基本的生物多样性变量，并转换我们可以观测生物多样性变化的时间和空间分辨率。研究轴2是通过利用物种分布、生理、生态和适应特征的现有数据来提高我们预测气候引起的物种范围变化的技能。研究轴3是测试关于竞争和营养相互作用如何随温度变化的理论预测，以推进概括性理论和更多的预测性理解。这是一项具有变革性的工作，因为它极大地增加了我们对海洋生物多样性的观测能力，并填补了关于物种分布如何受到气候限制的关键空白，提供了新的预测工具。SUNDAY教授的研究模式使其具有新颖性：她跨越学科和系统，从多个角度处理问题，并通过理论和广泛的比较分析寻求共性。拟议的研究将为学生和博士后提供大量机会，让他们在充满活力的跨学科环境中进行培训，并与保护机构发展合作伙伴关系，共同设计研究，以获得更有效的结果

Understanding how biological diversity is responding to the accelerating rate of global environmental change is one of the key scientific challenges of the 21st century. Despite many observations of ecological responses to climate change, we lack a predictive understanding that can guide adaptive management and decision-making. This challenge sets Prof. Sunday's research agenda: she uses data science, theory, and controlled experiments to connect physiological responses of organisms to processes that regulate population dynamics, ecological interactions, and community change, to better predict biotic responses to the climate crisis. Prof. Sunday's vision for the next five years is to develop 3 interrelated research axes that will address key challenges at the forefront of climate change biogeography, summarized into three interrelated research axes.Research Axis 1 is to develop and improve the use of environmental DNA metabarcoding (eDNA) to track essential biodiversity variables in our oceans and transform the temporal and spatial resolution across which we can observed biodiversity change. Research Axis 2 is to improve our skill in predicting climate-induced species range shifts, by leveraging existing data on distributional, physiological, ecological, and adaptive traits of species.Research Axis 3 is to test theoretical predictions of how competitive and trophic interactions change as a function of temperature, to advance generalizable theory and more predictive understanding.This is work is transformative as it greatly increases our observational capacities of marine biodiversity, and fills key gaps in understanding on how species' distributions are limited by climate, providing new predictive tools. Prof. Sunday's mode of research makes it novel: she connects across disciplines and systems, approaches questions from multiple angles, and seeks commonality through theory and broad comparative analyses.The proposed research will provide numerous opportunities for students and postdocs to train in a vibrant, interdisciplinary environment and to develop partnerships with conservation agencies to co-design research for more impactful outcomes