China automotive energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions outlook to 2050
China automotive energy consumption and greenhouse gas emissions outlook to 2050
复制标题
2050年中国汽车能源消耗和温室气体排放展望
DOI：
10.1007/s11027-014-9620-1
复制
发表时间：
2015-06
影响因子：
4
通讯作者：
Xiliang Zhang
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Chuanjun Lyu;Xunmin Ou;Xiliang Zhang
能源安全和气候变化是当前中国在国际政治、经济和环境政策辩论中最感兴趣的话题。在正在进行的现代化进程中，中国将继续面临提供安全能源供应和缓解气候变化的挑战。鉴于该国的大小，未来能源供应的发展和消费将对全球能源市场和当地环境产生重大影响，并对全球气候变化产生影响。中国目前是全球汽车市场增长最快的地区之一，也是全球最大的汽车市场。因此，汽车能源已成为中国的核心能源和环境问题。本文的目的是通过考察经济、技术和政策的相互作用，系统地了解中国汽车能源发展的动态。分析和论文概述了中国近期的汽车能源消耗和温室气体排放情况。使用清华中国汽车能源模型，开发了两种替代能源情景，即业务照常和综合政策情景。这两种情景描绘了到2050年汽车能源消耗和温室气体排放的两种可能轨迹。这些都揭示了对技术创新和政策干预的重要影响，这些都是在中国发展可持续汽车能源产业的背景下讨论的。
Energy security and climate change are topics of primary interest in current Chinese policy debates about the international politics, economy, and environment. In the ongoing process of modernization, China will continue to face challenges to provide secure energy supplies and mitigate climate change over time. Given the size of the country, the development and consumption of future energy supplies will have a substantial impact on global energy markets and the local environment and implications for global climate change. China is currently one of the fastest growing regions in the global automobile market and is the world’s largest automobile market. As a result, automotive energy has become a core energy and environmental issue for the country. The purpose of this paper is to provide a better understanding of the dynamics of automotive energy development in China in a systematic way by examining the interactions of economics, technology, and policy. The analysis and paper offers an overview of recent automotive energy consumption and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in China. Two alternative energy scenarios, business as usual (BAU) and integrated policy scenario (IPS), were developed using the Tsinghua China Automotive Energy Model (TCAEM). The two scenarios depict two possible trajectories of automotive energy consumption and GHG emissions out to 2050. These reveal important implications for technology innovation and policy intervention, which are discussed in the context of China developing a sustainable automotive energy industry.
登录
查看更多内容
影响因子：
9
作者：
Hao, Han;Wang, Hewu;Ouyang, Minggao
通讯作者：
Ouyang, Minggao
影响因子：
4.6
作者：
Hao Han;Wang HeWu;Cheng Fei
通讯作者：
Cheng Fei
DOI：
10.2172/236277
发表时间：
1992
期刊：
--
影响因子：
--
作者：
J. Sinton;Levine;Feng Liu;W. B. Davis;Zhenping Jiang;Zhuang Xing;J. Kejun;Z. Dadi
通讯作者：
J. Sinton;Levine;Feng Liu;W. B. Davis;Zhenping Jiang;Zhuang Xing;J. Kejun;Z. Dadi
影响因子：
9
作者：
Ou, Xunmin;Zhang, Xiliang;Chang, Shiyan
通讯作者：
Chang, Shiyan
影响因子：
9
作者：
Hao, Han;Wang, Hewu;Yi, Ran
通讯作者：
Yi, Ran