Effects of Nonresponse, Measurement, and Coverage Bias in Survey Estimates of Voting

Effects of Nonresponse, Measurement, and Coverage Bias in Survey Estimates of Voting
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无答复、测量和覆盖偏差对投票调查估计的影响

DOI:
10.1111/ssqu.12935
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发表时间:
2021
影响因子:
1.9
通讯作者:
Brenner, Philip S.
Brenner, Philip S.
中科院分区:
法学4区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Brenner, Philip S.

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我们的目标是估计的相对贡献的nonresponse,覆盖面,和测量偏差的调查估计voting.MethodsWe调查3,000波士顿地区的家庭抽样从一个基于地址的框架匹配,在可能的情况下,电话号码。采用两阶段抽样设计,通过电话访谈和个人访谈对非受访者进行随访。所有的情况下,然后链接到voting records.ResultsNonresponse,覆盖面,和测量偏差的调查估计在不同阶段的研究设计。覆盖率误差与缺失的电话号码有关,这是一个有偏见的估计,排除了非电话家庭。总体估计,包括nonphone家庭和nonrespondent采访包括25%的相对偏差同样归因于测量和nonrespondence.ConclusionBias在投票措施不限于测量偏差。研究人员还应该评估无反应和覆盖偏差的可能性。
ObjectiveThe objective is to estimate the relative contributions of nonresponse, coverage, and measurement biases in survey estimates of voting.MethodsWe survey 3,000 Boston‐area households sampled from an address‐based frame matched, when possible, to telephone numbers. A two‐phase sampling design was used to follow up nonrespondents from phone interviews with personal interviews. All cases were then linked to voting records.ResultsNonresponse, coverage, and measurement‐biased survey estimates at varying stages of the study design. Coverage error linked to missing telephone numbers biased estimates that excluded nonphone households. Overall estimates including nonphone households and nonrespondent interviews include 25 percent relative bias equally attributable to measurement and nonresponse.ConclusionBias in voting measures is not limited to measurement bias. Researchers should also assess the potential for nonresponse and coverage biases.
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