Combined effects of prevention and quarantine on a breakout in SIR model.
Combined effects of prevention and quarantine on a breakout in SIR model.
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DOI：
10.1038/srep00010
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发表时间：
2011
影响因子：
4.6
通讯作者：
Yoshimura, Jin
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Kato, Fuminori;Tainaka, Kei-ichi;Sone, Shogo;Morita, Satoru;Iida, Hiroyuki;Yoshimura, Jin
最近爆发的几种流行病，如流感大流行，对人类健康构成严重威胁。预防这些流行病的措施是流行病学研究中的紧迫问题。预防和检疫是防止疾病传播的两种主要方法。我们在这里调查的综合效果，这两个措施的保护使用SIR模型。在格点模型上，我们采用点渗流进行预防，采用键渗流进行隔离。我们发现，在当地的相互作用下，预防和检疫有很强的协同效应。在疾病传播初期，稍微增加保护措施是非常有效的。两种措施相结合比单一的保护措施更有效。我们的研究结果表明，针对流行病的保护政策应同时考虑预防和检疫措施。
Recent breakouts of several epidemics, such as flu pandemics, are serious threats to human health. The measures of protection against these epidemics are urgent issues in epidemiological studies. Prevention and quarantine are two major approaches against disease spreads. We here investigate the combined effects of these two measures of protection using the SIR model. We use site percolation for prevention and bond percolation for quarantine applying on a lattice model. We find a strong synergistic effect of prevention and quarantine under local interactions. A slight increase in protection measures is extremely effective in the initial disease spreads. Combination of the two measures is more effective than a single protection measure. Our results suggest that the protection policy against epidemics should account for both prevention and quarantine measures simultaneously.
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DOI：
10.1098/rspb.2002.2095
发表时间：
2002-10-07
影响因子：
4.7
作者：
Kamp, C;Bornholdt, S
通讯作者：
Bornholdt, S
影响因子：
1.7
作者：
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通讯作者：
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影响因子：
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作者：
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DOI：
10.1098/rspa.1927.0118
发表时间：
1927-08-01
期刊：
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影响因子：
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作者：
Kermack, WO;McKendrick, AG
通讯作者：
McKendrick, AG
影响因子：
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作者：
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通讯作者：
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