The usefulness of past crime data as an attractiveness index for residential burglars

The usefulness of past crime data as an attractiveness index for residential burglars
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过去的犯罪数据作为对住宅窃贼的吸引力指数的有用性

DOI:
10.1002/jip.1507
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发表时间:
2018
影响因子:
1
通讯作者:
Masakazu Kobayashi
Masakazu Kobayashi
中科院分区:
心理学4区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Aiko Hanayama;Shumpei Haginoya;Hiroki Kuraishi;Masakazu Kobayashi

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本研究采用离散选择模型,探讨邻里吸引力对住宅窃贼作案地点选择过程的影响。我们发现,过去的犯罪数据是一个重要的指标,一个街区的吸引力,可以结合其他的吸引力指数从以前的研究。我们使用了来自70名罪犯的369起已解决案件的数据,并将这些数据与日本仙台市的1,134个区域(500米网格单元)相关联。结果显示,住宅爆窃案的潜在犯案地点包括:(a)邻近其住所的地方;(B)过去有很多或最少有较高比例住宅爆窃案的地方;(c)有很多住宅单位的地方;及(d)有较高比例单户住宅的地方。结果证实了过去的犯罪数据的有效性作为一个指数的邻里的吸引力住宅盗窃。
This study examines the effects of neighbourhood attractiveness on the residential burglar's crime location choice process using a discrete choice model. We show that past crime data are an important index of a neighbourhood's attractiveness and can be combined with other attractiveness indices adapted from previous studies. We used data from 369 solved cases committed by 70 offenders and related these data to 1,134 areas (500 m grid cells) in Sendai City, Japan. The results showed that residential burglars were attracted to the following potential locations for crimes: (a) areas in proximity to his or her own residence; (b) areas having many or at least a higher proportion of residential burglaries in the past; (c) areas having many residential units; and (d) areas having a higher proportion of single‐family dwellings. The results confirm the validity of past crime data as an index of a neighbourhood's attractiveness for residential burglary.
DOI: 10.1177/1477370808095124
发表时间: 2008-10-01
影响因子: 1.9
作者:
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《犯罪受害者的新视野》(2002 年),卡罗琳·霍伊尔和理查德·杨编辑(牛津和波特兰,安大略省:Hart Publishing,243 页。25.00 英镑)。
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发表时间: 2010-03-01
影响因子: 3.6
作者:
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通讯作者: Bernasco, Wim