Key challenges for China's carbon emissions trading program

Key challenges for China's carbon emissions trading program
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中国碳排放交易计划面临的主要挑战

DOI:
10.1002/wcc.599
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发表时间:
2019-06
影响因子:
9.2
通讯作者:
Liu Zhu
Liu Zhu
中科院分区:
环境科学与生态学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Wang Pu;Liu Lei;Tan Xianchun;Liu Zhu

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中国的国家碳排放交易计划有望成为全球最大的碳市场,对于实现中国国内减排目标至关重要。但由于规模庞大、复杂性高,中国的贸易计划可能面临重大挑战。首先,中国排放数据的准确性和可信度受到广泛批评。国家和省级排放清单存在显着不一致,设施层面的数据更不令人满意。碳市场相关机构能力需要大幅提升,加强监测、报告和核查能力。其次,与世界其他地区的排放交易计划相比,由于中国的经济结构从制造业经济向服务业经济转型,中国的排放交易计划可能面临更大的市场波动。需要明智的上限设定和配额分配方法以及适当的价格控制机制来维护市场稳定。第三,中国是市场经济,具有中央计划体制的许多特征,特别是在能源领域。大型国有企业(SOE)并不充当利润最大化实体,它们的行为可能会损害限额与交易计划的效率。针对这些挑战,我们提出了一系列政策建议,包括从中央到地方的能力建设、明智选择配额分配方式以应对不断变化的经济现实、深化能源部门和国有企业的市场化改革。
China's national carbon emissions trading program is expected to become the world's largest carbon market and is critical for achieving China's domestic mitigation goals. But China's trading program is likely to face significant challenges, due to its large scale and high complexity. First, the accuracy and credibility of China's emissions data have been widely criticized. There are significant inconsistencies between the national and provincial emissions inventories, and the facility‐level data are even less satisfying. Institutional capacities related to the carbon market need to be significantly enhanced to strengthen monitoring, reporting, and verifying capabilities. Second, compared to emissions trading programs in other parts of the world, China's program is likely to face greater market volatility, due to the country's economic structural transition from a manufacturing‐based to a service‐based economy. Wise cap‐setting and allowance allocation methods and proper price containment mechanisms are needed to maintain market stability. And third, China is a market economy with many features of a central planning system, particularly in the energy sector. Large state‐owned enterprises (SOEs) do not act as profit‐maximizing entities, and their behaviors could undermine the efficiency of the cap‐and‐trade program. To address these challenges, we provide a series of policy recommendations, including capacity building from central to local levels, wise selection of allowance allocation methods to cope with changing economic realities, and deepening market‐oriented reforms in energy sectors and SOEs.
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