COVID and crime: An early empirical look.

COVID and crime: An early empirical look.
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COVID and crime:An early empirical look.

DOI:
10.1016/j.jpubeco.2020.104344
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发表时间:
2021-03
影响因子:
9.8
通讯作者:
Abrams DS
Abrams DS
中科院分区:
经济学1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Abrams DS

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收集了来自美国25个大城市的数据,以估计COVID-19大流行的爆发对犯罪的影响。在毒品犯罪、盗窃、住宅盗窃和大多数暴力犯罪中,犯罪事件和逮捕人数都迅速下降。这种下降似乎先于居家令,逮捕也遵循与报道相似的模式。在大多数城市,杀人和枪击事件并没有减少,而非住宅入室盗窃和汽车盗窃却有所增加,这表明犯罪活动转移到了人口较少的地方。匹兹堡、纽约、旧金山、费城、华盛顿特区和芝加哥的总体犯罪率都下降了至少35%。来自警方发起的报告和犯罪变化的地理差异的证据表明,大多数观察到的变化不是由于犯罪报告的变化。
Data from 25 large U.S. cities is assembled to estimate the impact of the onset of the COVID-19 pandemic on crime. There is a widespread immediate drop in both criminal incidents and arrests most heavily pronounced among drug crimes, theft, residential burglaries, and most violent crimes. The decline appears to precede stay-at-home orders, and arrests follow a similar pattern as reports. There is no decline in homicides and shootings, and an increase in non-residential burglary and car theft in most cities, suggesting that criminal activity was displaced to locations with fewer people. Pittsburgh, New York City, San Francisco, Philadelphia, Washington DC and Chicago each saw overall crime drops of at least 35%. Evidence from police-initiated reports and geographic variation in crime change suggests that most of the observed changes are not due to changes in crime reporting.
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发表时间: 1968-01-01
影响因子: 8.2
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在芝加哥的共同19-19大流行期间,解散社区级别的犯罪趋势变化。
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