Low carbon technology performance vs infrastructure vulnerability: analysis through the local and global properties space.

Low carbon technology performance vs infrastructure vulnerability: analysis through the local and global properties space.
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低碳技术性能与基础设施脆弱性:通过本地和全球财产空间进行分析。

DOI:
10.1021/es500902b
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发表时间:
2014
影响因子:
11.4
通讯作者:
Dawson DA
Dawson DA
中科院分区:
环境科学与生态学1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Dawson DA

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低碳基础设施网络所需的可再生能源技术正在被采用,以帮助减少对化石燃料的依赖并实现碳减排目标。这些技术的发展是基于特定于技术的性能标准的提高,而没有明确考虑更广泛的系统(全球)影响。本文提出了一种同时评估本地(技术)和全球(基础设施)绩效的方法,允许评估关键技术干预措施对更广泛基础设施系统脆弱性的影响。我们使用低碳基础设施在关键材料供应中断(关键程度)下的敞口来演示该方法。分析了一系列局部性能变化,并对该方法进行了扩展,提出了一种评估多种材料对某一特定工艺的组合临界性的方法。通过对材料(磁铁)和技术(涡轮机发电机)两个层面的风力涡轮机的案例研究,我们证明了在不同层面上对给定干预措施的分析可能会导致关于脆弱性影响的不同结论。基础设施设计决策应采取系统性办法;如果没有这些多层面的考虑,旨在帮助实现低碳目标的战略目标,即通过长期的基础设施过渡,可能会受到严重威胁。
Renewable energy technologies, necessary for low-carbon infrastructure networks, are being adopted to help reduce fossil fuel dependence and meet carbon mitigation targets. The evolution of these technologies has progressed based on the enhancement of technology-specific performance criteria, without explicitly considering the wider system (global) impacts. This paper presents a methodology for simultaneously assessing local (technology) and global (infrastructure) performance, allowing key technological interventions to be evaluated with respect to their effect on the vulnerability of wider infrastructure systems. We use exposure of low carbon infrastructure to critical material supply disruption (criticality) to demonstrate the methodology. A series of local performance changes are analyzed; and by extension of this approach, a method for assessing the combined criticality of multiple materials for one specific technology is proposed. Via a case study of wind turbines at both the material (magnets) and technology (turbine generators) levels, we demonstrate that analysis of a given intervention at different levels can lead to differing conclusions regarding the effect on vulnerability. Infrastructure design decisions should take a systemic approach; without these multilevel considerations, strategic goals aimed to help meet low-carbon targets, that is, through long-term infrastructure transitions, could be significantly jeopardized.
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