Global Population Exposed to Extreme Events in the 150 Most Populated Cities of the World: Implications for Public Health.

Global Population Exposed to Extreme Events in the 150 Most Populated Cities of the World: Implications for Public Health.
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DOI:
10.3390/ijerph18031293
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发表时间:
2021-02-01
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Sapkota A
Sapkota A
中科院分区:
综合性期刊3区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Li L;Jiang C;Murtugudde R;Liang XZ;Sapkota A

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气候变化导致的极端高温事件(EHE)和极端降水事件(EPE)频率的增加导致了传染性和非传染性疾病的负担,特别是在城市中心。虽然城市人口的比例继续增长,但对受这些威胁影响的人口缺乏全面评估。利用1980-2017年期间气象站、气候模型和城市人口增长的数据,我们发现,EHE、EPE和城市人口频率的同时上升,导致世界上150个人口最多的城市中暴露于EHE和EPE的个人增加了500%以上。由于未来几十年的人口增长预计大多发生在中低收入国家的城市中心,因此迫切需要熟练的早期预警和针对社区的应对战略,以尽量减少对公共卫生的影响和对全球经济的相关成本。
Climate change driven increases in the frequency of extreme heat events (EHE) and extreme precipitation events (EPE) are contributing to both infectious and non-infectious disease burden, particularly in urban city centers. While the share of urban populations continues to grow, a comprehensive assessment of populations impacted by these threats is lacking. Using data from weather stations, climate models, and urban population growth during 1980–2017, here, we show that the concurrent rise in the frequency of EHE, EPE, and urban populations has resulted in over 500% increases in individuals exposed to EHE and EPE in the 150 most populated cities of the world. Since most of the population increases over the next several decades are projected to take place in city centers within low- and middle-income countries, skillful early warnings and community specific response strategies are urgently needed to minimize public health impacts and associated costs to the global economy.
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