Early school closures can reduce the first-wave of the COVID-19 pandemic development.
Early school closures can reduce the first-wave of the COVID-19 pandemic development.
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DOI：
10.1007/s10389-020-01391-z
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发表时间：
2022
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Tulwin T
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Klimek-Tulwin M;Tulwin T
新冠肺炎疫情对全球公共卫生和世界经济构成严重威胁。因此，病例数量的迅速上升导致国家政府和全球干预。这项研究旨在评估学校停课对新冠肺炎大流行的影响以及选定国家的疫情轨迹。关于每个国家的病例数量和人口的信息取自官方政府报告。教育机构的关闭日期取自教科文组织的数据库。采用STATISTICA软件进行统计分析。我们以图表和描述性的方式对数据进行了总结。大多数欧洲国家在2020年3月11日至20日期间关闭了学校。然而，关闭当天的疫情阶段有很大不同。数据表明，教育设施关闭的日期与随后几天(每个国家自第100例确诊病例起的第16、30和60天)的发病率有很强的相关性。在所分析的国家中，学校提前关闭与今后疫情不同阶段的较低发病率在统计上显著相关。因此，延迟停课的学校在统计上显着地与随后几天的较高发病率相关。现有数据表明，学校关闭可能会减少大流行期间的传播，尽管还需要对这些做法的有效性进行更多研究。
The COVID-19 pandemic presents serious threats to global public health and the world economy. Therefore, the rapid escalation of the number of cases has led to national government and global interventions. This study aimed to assess the effect of school closures on the COVID-19 pandemic and epidemic trajectories in selected countries. Information on the number of cases and population in each country were taken from official government reports. Dates of educational institutions closure were taken from the UNESCO database. Statistical analyses were performed using Statistica. We summarized the data graphically and descriptively. Most of the European countries closed schools in the period of 11–20 of March 2020. However, there was a big difference in the phase of the epidemic on the day of closure. The data indicate that there was a strong correlation between the day of educational facilities closure and the incidence rate in the following days (16th, 30th, and 60th days since the 100th confirmed case in each country). Early closure of schools in analyzed countries is statistically significantly correlated with lower incidence rates further on during the different phases of the epidemic. Thereby closure of schools with delay is statistically significantly correlated with a higher incidence rate in the following days. The available data suggest that school closures can potentially reduce transmission during the pandemic, although more research is needed on the effectiveness of these practices.
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