Can Private Vehicle-augmenting Technical Progress Reduce Household and Total Fuel Use?

Can Private Vehicle-augmenting Technical Progress Reduce Household and Total Fuel Use?
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私家车增强技术进步能否减少家庭和总燃料使用量?

DOI:
10.1016/j.ecolecon.2017.10.005
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发表时间:
2018
影响因子:
7
通讯作者:
Figus G
Figus G
中科院分区:
经济学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Figus G

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本文件说明了将能源密集型家庭服务,特别是私人交通作为能源和其他投入的组合进行建模的重要性。最初采用局部均衡方法分析私人交通消费,将其作为家庭车辆和燃料使用形成的自产商品。我们特别关注在这一框架内私人汽车增强技术进步的影响。我们表明,家庭燃料的使用将下降,如果它是更容易替代之间的车辆和燃料在家庭生产的私人交通服务比它是私人交通和所有其他商品的综合家庭消费。分析,然后扩展,通过可计算一般均衡模拟,调查更广泛的影响类似的效率提高时,中间需求,价格和名义收入是内生的。随后私人运输服务价格的下降(在市场价格中无法观察到)使得相对于消费物价指数衡量的工资上升,而相对于外国商品价格的工资福尔斯下降。这同时提高了英国的国际竞争力,鼓励增加出口,减少进口渗透,同时允许就业增加。这为生产、就业和家庭收入提供了额外的供应方刺激。
This paper demonstrates the importance of modelling energy-intensive household services in general, and private transportation in particular, as combinations of energy and other inputs. Initially a partial equilibrium approach is used to analyse private transport consumption as a self-produced commodity formed by household vehicle and fuel use. We particularly focus on the impact of private vehicle-augmenting technical progress in this framework. We show that household fuel use will fall if it is easier to substitute between vehicles and fuel in the household production of private transport services than it is to substitute between private transport and the composite of all other goods in overall household consumption. The analysis is then extended, through Computable General Equilibrium simulation, to investigate the wider implications of similar efficiency improvements when intermediate demand, prices and nominal income are endogenous. The subsequent reduction in the price of private transport service (not observable in market prices) allows the wage measured relative to the CPI to rise whilst the wage relative to the price of foreign goods falls. This simultaneously increases UK international competitiveness, encouraging increased exports and reduced import penetration whilst allowing employment to rise. This provides an additional supply-side stimulus to production, employment and household income.
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