The impact of lockdowns during the COVID-19 pandemic on fertility intentions.
The impact of lockdowns during the COVID-19 pandemic on fertility intentions.
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DOI：
10.1016/j.ehb.2022.101214
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发表时间：
2023-01
影响因子：
2.5
通讯作者：
Wooden, Mark
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Mooi-Reci, Irma;Trinh, Trong-Anh;Vera-Toscano, Esperanza;Wooden, Mark
关键词：
2019冠状病毒病疫情期间的封锁法令导致人们担心分娩计划和决定的后果。然而，缺乏有力的实证研究来反驳或证实这些担忧。为评估封城对生育率的因果影响，我们从一项全国代表性家庭调查中抽取了大量澳大利亚人（18至45岁）样本，并利用了2020年在澳大利亚进行的一项独特自然实验的变异：在维多利亚州实施封城，但在澳大利亚其他地方则没有。差异中的差异模型进行了估计，比较了在封锁期间或封锁解除后四周内居住在维多利亚的人与居住在澳大利亚其他地方的人的生育意愿变化。结果显示，在经历了长期封锁的妇女中，报告的生育另一个孩子的意图明显下降。平均影响很小，生育意愿估计比大流行前的平均值下降了2.8%至4.3%。然而，这种负面影响在35岁以上、受教育程度较低和定期合同雇员中更为明显。对男子生育意愿的影响一般可以忽略不计，但澳大利亚土著人是一个明显的例外。
Lockdown edicts during the COVID-19 pandemic have led to concerns about consequences for childbirth plans and decisions. Robust empirical research to either refute or confirm these concerns, however, is lacking. To evaluate the causal impact of lockdowns on fertility, we exploited a large sample of Australians (aged 18–45) from a nationally representative household panel survey and leveraged variation from a unique natural experiment that occurred in Australia in 2020: a lockdown imposed in the state of Victoria, but not elsewhere in Australia. Difference-in-differences models were estimated comparing changes in fertility intentions of persons who resided in Victoria during lockdown, or within four weeks of the lockdown being lifted, and those living elsewhere in Australia. Results revealed a significantly larger decline in reported intentions of having another child among women who lived through the protracted lockdown. The average effect was small, with fertility intentions estimated to fall by between 2.8% and 4.3% of the pre-pandemic mean. This negative effect was, however, more pronounced among those aged over 35 years, the less educated, and those employed on fixed-term contracts. Impacts on men’s fertility intentions were generally negligible, but with a notable exception being Indigenous Australians.
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DOI：
10.1093/humrep/deac011
发表时间：
2022-04-01
期刊：
Human reproduction (Oxford, England)
影响因子：
--
作者：
Aitken RJ
通讯作者：
Aitken RJ
影响因子：
3.7
作者：
Berger LM;Ferrari G;Leturcq M;Panico L;Solaz A
通讯作者：
Solaz A
影响因子：
9.8
作者：
Forsythe, Eliza;Kahn, Lisa B.;Wiczer, David
通讯作者：
Wiczer, David
影响因子：
5.2
作者：
Bu, F.;Steptoe, A.;Fancourt, D.
通讯作者：
Fancourt, D.
DOI：
10.1016/j.clnu.2021.04.015
发表时间：
2022-12
期刊：
Clinical nutrition (Edinburgh, Scotland)
影响因子：
--
作者：
Bakaloudi DR;Barazzoni R;Bischoff SC;Breda J;Wickramasinghe K;Chourdakis M
通讯作者：
Chourdakis M