Waiting for Recovery: The Canadian Labour Market in June 2020

Waiting for Recovery: The Canadian Labour Market in June 2020
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DOI:
10.3138/cpp.2020-078
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发表时间:
2020-08-01
期刊:
Canadian Public Policy. Analyse De Politiques
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Warman C
Warman C
中科院分区:
其他
文献类型:
--
作者:
Jones SR;Lange F;Riddell WC;Warman C

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加拿大劳动力市场目前正在摆脱一种停滞不前的模式,即处于临时(或“召回”)失业状态的人数异常之多,因未指明原因“有工作但缺勤”的人,或在等待召回期间不在劳动力大军中的人。两个令人鼓舞的迹象显而易见。新发布的职位空缺已从50%恢复到危机前水平的80%左右。此外,数据表明,2020年5月就业人数的增加是由于一些等待召回的人重新就业。这些模式表明,劳动力市场可能会迅速反弹。警告迹象是,没有工作依恋的失业者和被召回的失业者从事找工作的比例开始增加。
The Canadian labour market is currently emerging from a holding pattern with unusually high numbers of people in temporary (or “recall”) unemployment, people who are “employed but absent from work” for unspecified reasons, or people who are not in the labour force while waiting to be recalled. Two encouraging signs are evident. New postings of vacancies have recovered from 50 percent to about 80 percent of their pre-crisis level. Also, data suggest that the increase in employment in May 2020 is due to the re-entry into employment of some of those waiting to be recalled. These patterns suggest that the labour market might rebound quickly. Warning signs are that the shares of unemployed persons without job attachment and of those on recall engaged in job search are beginning to increase.
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