The Correspondence Between Fertility Intentions and Behavior in the United States.
The Correspondence Between Fertility Intentions and Behavior in the United States.
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DOI：
10.1111/j.1728-4457.2010.00319.x
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发表时间：
2010-03
影响因子：
2.5
通讯作者：
Rackin H
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Morgan SP;Rackin H
利用1979年全国青年纵向调查的数据，我们描述了1957-64年出生队列中美国男性和女性的预期家庭规模和观察到的生育率之间的对应关系。从20年代中期的报告中计算出的平均生育意图适度夸大了完成的生育率。但是声明的意图和实际生育之间的差异是常见的24岁时声明的意图（无论是女性还是男性）更有可能错过而不是匹配完成生育。我们专注于预测哪些女性和男性会比预期生育更多或更少的孩子的因素。与生命过程的论点一致，那些未婚、无子女或（对于女性）在24岁左右仍在上学的人最有可能达不到预期的平等（即，在24岁时生的孩子比预期的要少）。我们讨论了意图和行为之间的这种差异如何累积产生相当大的跨组生育差异。
Using data from the 1979 National Longitudinal Survey of Youth, we describe the correspondence between intended family size and observed fertility for US men and women in the 1957–64 birth cohorts. Mean fertility intentions calculated from reports given in the mid‐20s modestly overstate completed fertility. But discrepancies between stated intent and actual fertility are common—the stated intent at age 24 (for both women and men) is more likely to miss than to match completed fertility. We focus on factors that predict which women and men will have fewer or more children than intended. Consistent with life‐course arguments, those unmarried, childless, or (for women) still in school at approximately age 24 were most likely to underachieve their intended parity (i.e., had fewer children than intended at age 24). We discuss how such discrepancies between intentions and behavior may cumulate to produce sizable cross‐group fertility differences.
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DOI：
10.2307/351694
发表时间：
1979-01-01
期刊：
JOURNAL OF MARRIAGE AND THE FAMILY
影响因子：
--
作者：
BLAKE, J
通讯作者：
BLAKE, J
影响因子：
2.5
作者：
BLAKE, J
通讯作者：
BLAKE, J
影响因子：
2.4
作者：
Quesnel-Vallée, A;Morgan, SP
通讯作者：
Morgan, SP
影响因子：
2.5
作者：
Bongaarts, J;Feeney, G
通讯作者：
Feeney, G
影响因子：
2.5
作者：
Hagewen, KJ;Morgan, SP
通讯作者：
Morgan, SP