Risk of ESRD in the United States.
Risk of ESRD in the United States.
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DOI：
10.1053/j.ajkd.2016.05.030
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发表时间：
2016-12
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Saran R
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Albertus P;Morgenstern H;Robinson B;Saran R
尽管美国肾脏数据系统（USRDS）常规报告了美国终末期肾病（ESRD）的发生率，但未报告风险（概率）。短期和长期风险估计需要更新，并扩大到少数民族人口，包括美洲原住民，亚洲/太平洋岛民和西班牙裔。使用生命表方法从大人群监测数据进行风险估计。通过构建一个从出生到死亡的假设队列，应用竞争风险框架。美国总人口。ESRD的发病率和死亡率来自USRDS;全因死亡率来自CDC WONDER。年龄、性别、种族/民族和年份。10-终末期肾病的年至终生风险（累积发病率）。在男性中，使用2013年数据，从出生开始的终末期肾病终生风险为3.1%（95% CI，3.0%-3.1%）非西班牙裔（NH）白人，8.0%（95% CI，7.9%-8.2%）NH黑人，3.8%（95% CI，3.4%-4.9%），NH亚洲人/太平洋岛民为5.1%（95% CI，4.8%-5.4%），西班牙裔为6.2%（95% CI，6.1%-6.4%）。在女性中，终生风险为2.0%，（95% CI，2.0%-2.1%）NH白人，6.8%（95% CI，6.7%-6.9%）NH黑人，3.6%（95% CI，3.3%-4.2%），NH亚洲/太平洋岛民为3.8%（95% CI，3.6%-4.0%），西班牙裔为4.3%（95% CI，4.2%-4.5%）。出生后终末期肾病的终生风险从2000年的3.5%增加到2013年的4.0%，男性从3.0%下降到2.8%。随着时间的推移，固定年龄特异性比率的标准终生假设;以及可能的ESRD错误分类。为了在临床实践中有用，该应用将需要额外的预测因子（例如，合并症、慢性肾病阶段）。美国不同种族/民族的ESRD风险差异超过2倍。
Although incidence rates of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) in the United States are reported routinely by the US Renal Data System (USRDS), risks (probabilities) are not reported. Short- and long-term risk estimates need to be updated and expanded to minority populations, including Native Americans, Asian/Pacific Islanders, and Hispanics. Risk estimation from surveillance data in large populations using life-table methods. A competing-risks framework was applied by constructing a hypothetical cohort followed up from birth to death. Total US population. Incidence and mortality rates of ESRD were obtained from the USRDS; all-cause mortality rates were obtained from CDC WONDER. Age, sex, race/ethnicity, and year. 10-year to lifetime risks (cumulative incidence) of ESRD. Among males, the lifetime risks of ESRD from birth using 2013 data were 3.1% (95% CI, 3.0%-3.1%) for non-Hispanic (NH) whites, 8.0% (95% CI, 7.9%-8.2%) for NH blacks, 3.8% (95% CI, 3.4%-4.9%) for NH Native Americans, 5.1% (95% CI, 4.8%-5.4%) for NH Asians/Pacific Islanders, and 6.2% (95% CI, 6.1%-6.4%) for Hispanics. Among females, the lifetime risks were 2.0% (95% CI, 2.0%-2.1%) for NH whites, 6.8% (95% CI, 6.7%-6.9%) for NH blacks, 3.6% (95% CI, 3.3%-4.2%) for NH Native Americans, 3.8% (95% CI, 3.6%-4.0%) for NH Asian/Pacific Islanders, and 4.3% (95% CI, 4.2%-4.5%) for Hispanics. The lifetime risk of ESRD from birth increased from 3.5% in 2000 to 4.0% in 2013 in males and decreased from 3.0% to 2.8% in females. Standard life-time assumption of fixed age-specific rates over time; and possible ESRD misclassification. To be useful in clinical practice, this application will require additional predictors (e.g., comorbidities, chronic kidney disease stage). ESRD risk in the United States varies more than 2-fold among racial/ethnic groups for both sexes.
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影响因子：
5.1
作者：
Merrill, RM;Kessler, LG;Feuer, EJ
通讯作者：
Feuer, EJ
DOI：
10.1126/science.1193032
发表时间：
2010-08-13
期刊：
Science (New York, N.Y.)
影响因子：
--
作者：
Genovese G;Friedman DJ;Ross MD;Lecordier L;Uzureau P;Freedman BI;Bowden DW;Langefeld CD;Oleksyk TK;Uscinski Knob AL;Bernhardy AJ;Hicks PJ;Nelson GW;Vanhollebeke B;Winkler CA;Kopp JB;Pays E;Pollak MR
通讯作者：
Pollak MR
影响因子：
19.6
作者：
通讯作者：
--
影响因子：
120.7
作者：
Narayan, KMV;Boyle, JP;Williamson, DF
通讯作者：
Williamson, DF
影响因子：
13.6
作者：
Peralta, Carmen A.;Shlipak, Michael G.;Go, Alan S.
通讯作者：
Go, Alan S.