The Pattern and Local Push Factors of Rural Depopulation in Less-Developed Areas: A Case Study in the Mountains of North Hebei Province, China.
The Pattern and Local Push Factors of Rural Depopulation in Less-Developed Areas: A Case Study in the Mountains of North Hebei Province, China.
复制标题
DOI：
10.3390/ijerph19105909
复制
发表时间：
2022-05-12
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Guo, Yandi
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Yu, Zhonglei;Zhang, Hua;Sun, Piling;Guo, Yandi
关键词：
农村人口减少是城市化进程中农村地区最显著的地理现象。虽然许多研究从宏观层面探讨了农村人口减少的驱动力，但地方因素及其对农村人口减少的影响尚未完全揭示。本文以河北省北方山区为研究区域，基于GeoDetector数据，探讨了农村人口减少在乡镇层面上的模式和地方推动因素。主要调查结果概述如下。(1)农村人口减少差异很大，表现出空间相关性，并呈集群分布。从动态的角度来看，与2000-2010年相比，2010-2017年研究区人口增长区明显扩大，人口锐减区和人口严重减少区缩小。(2)农村人口减少的模式与地形有关。农村人口减少在高原和山区往往较强，而在山间盆地、丘陵和皮埃蒙特平原相对较轻。(3)自然环境和农村经济机会的农业适宜性以及气候变化是地方一级农村人口减少的最重要驱动力。地理位置、人口稀少和公共服务不足也是造成农村人口减少的原因。但是，不同时期的主导驱动因素是不同的。在2000-2010年，农村人口减少主要是由人均耕地和自然环境变量驱动的，而在2010-2017年，人口密度、地理位置和非农经济机会发挥了决定性作用。(4)农村人口减少是一个复杂的、多维度的过程，受到多种因素的共同驱动，包括不同的环境因素、经济机会和地理位置。本文通过定量的实证分析方法揭示了欠发达山区农村人口减少的推动因素，激发了人们对地方性因素和空间相关性对农村人口减少的影响的关注，并对我国乡村振兴的政策设计具有重要的启示意义。
Rural depopulation is the most significant geographical phenomenon in rural areas during the process of urbanization. Although many studies have investigated the driving force of rural depopulation based on rural-urban migration at the macro level, the local factors, and their impact on rural depopulation from the rural areas have been not fully revealed. This paper selected the northern mountains of China’s Hebei province as a study area to explore the pattern and local push factors of rural depopulation at the rural-township levels based on GeoDetector. The main findings are summarized as follows. (1) Rural depopulation varies substantially, demonstrates spatial correlation, and is distributed in clusters. From a dynamic perspective, compare that in years 2000–2010, the population growth areas during 2010–2017 have been significantly expanded, while the sharp depopulation areas and severe depopulation areas experienced shrinkage in our study area. (2) The pattern of rural depopulation is in accordance with terrain. Rural depopulation tends to be stronger in plateaus and mountains, while relatively milder in intermontane basins, hills, and piedmont plains. (3) The agricultural suitability of natural environmental and rural economic opportunities together with climate changes were the most important driving forces of rural depopulation at local levels. Location, sparse population, and inadequate public services also contributed to rural depopulation. However, the dominant driving factors are different in the different periods. Rural depopulation was mainly driven by arable land per capita and natural environmental variables in the years 2000–2010, while the population density, location, and off-farm economic opportunities played a decisive role in the years 2010–2017. (4) Rural depopulation is a complex, multi-dimensional process driven by a combination of multiple factors including different environmental factors, economic opportunities, and location. This paper reveals the push factors of rural depopulation in underdeveloped mountainous areas by a quantitative empirical approach, inspiring increased attention to the impacts of local factors and spatial correlations on rural depopulation, and has many implications for the policy design of China’s rural revitalization.
登录
查看更多内容
气候变化、农作物产量和墨西哥-美国跨境移民之间的联系
DOI：
10.1073/pnas.1002632107
发表时间：
2010-08-10
影响因子：
11.1
作者：
Feng, Shuaizhang;Krueger, Alan B.;Oppenheimer, Michael
通讯作者：
Oppenheimer, Michael
影响因子：
5.1
作者：
CAWLEY, ME
通讯作者：
CAWLEY, ME
影响因子：
5.1
作者：
Elshof, Hans;van Wissen, Leo;Mulder, Clara H.
通讯作者：
Mulder, Clara H.
DOI：
10.17583/rimcis.2015.1503
发表时间：
2015-07-01
影响因子：
2.4
作者：
Li, Xingan
通讯作者：
Li, Xingan
影响因子：
4.2
作者：
Jacobson, Chris;Crevello, Stacy;Jarihani, Ben
通讯作者：
Jarihani, Ben