Modeling regional disparity and the reverse commute

Modeling regional disparity and the reverse commute
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模拟区域差异和反向通勤

DOI:
10.1016/j.tra.2021.06.005
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发表时间:
2021
期刊:
Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Ryerson, Megan S.
Ryerson, Megan S.
中科院分区:
--
文献类型:
--
作者:
Davidson, Joshua H.;Ryerson, Megan S.

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本文测量了a)反向通勤-工人从城市的家庭位置到郊区的工作地点的通勤-是否以家庭和工作场所之间独特的社会经济和人口空间为特征,以及B)在这种理论上不公平的情况下,一个地区的城市之间的更大碎片化可能发挥什么作用。我们采用来自大都市费城,PA地区和当代降维方法的行政起源-目的地数据模型的可能性的起源-目的地对被归类为反向通勤。特别注意的是社会经济和大都市的碎片条款和非线性规格的预测变量之间的相互作用。家庭和工作地理之间更大的社会经济和人口差距被发现唯一预测反向通勤。我们还发现,在大都市规模的碎片化有一个多方面的影响,这种社会经济差异。总之,我们的研究结果似乎表明,虽然更大的地区社会经济差异确实与反向通勤相关,但更大的大都市碎片化可能与此无关。这幅肖像突出了围绕政治分裂的交通研究的新领域,并提出了在反向通勤问题上重新进行以公平为导向的政策投资的理由。
This paper measures a) whether the reverse commute – a commute where a worker travels from a home location in the city to a workplace location in the suburbs – is characterized by a uniquely disparate socioeconomic and demographic space between home and workplace, and b) what role greater fragmentation between municipalities in a region might play in this theoretically inequitable circumstance. We employ administrative origin–destination data from the metropolitan Philadelphia, PA area and contemporary dimension reduction methodologies to model the likelihood of an origin destination pair being classified as a reverse commute. Particular attention is given to interactions between socioeconomic and metropolitan fragmentation terms and non-linear specifications of predictor variables. Greater socioeconomic and demographic disparity between home and work geographies is found to uniquely predict the reverse commute. We also find that fragmentation at the metropolitan scale has a multidimensional impact in relation to this socio-economic difference. Together, our findings appear to signal that, while greater regional socioeconomic disparity does indeed correlate with the reverse commute, greater metropolitan fragmentation may not. This portrait highlights new areas for transport research around political fragmentation and makes the case for renewed, equity-oriented policy investment in the reverse commuting problem.
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