The Potential and Trend of End-Of-Life Passenger Vehicles Recycling in China
The Potential and Trend of End-Of-Life Passenger Vehicles Recycling in China
复制标题
中国报废乘用车回收潜力与趋势
DOI：
10.3390/su12041455
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发表时间：
2020-02
期刊：
影响因子：
3.9
通讯作者：
Chenyi Chen
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Yang Li;Kiyoshi Fujikawa;Junbo Wang;Xin Li;Yiyi Ju;Chenyi Chen
汽车产业有限的资源与快速发展之间的矛盾，促使社会从报废汽车中寻求可回收资源的供应。汽车回收政策制定者迫切需要全面了解报废车辆（EoL）数量，同时汽车生产商也需要注意他们可以从ELV回收中受益的内容和方式。本文估算了EoL乘用车的潜在人口、所有可回收资源以及这些可回收资源的经济价值。结果表明，到2030年，随着乘用车的轻量化趋势，将有超过2630万辆乘用车退役，其中可回收钢材1910万吨，塑料620万吨。到2030年，所有可回收资源的理论经济价值将达到1013亿元人民币（144亿美元），平均每辆EoL乘用车约为2400元人民币（341.8美元）。考虑到电动汽车回收利用的巨大潜力，汽车生产商是时候转向制造模式了。情景分析表明，在轻量化趋势的背景下，未来电动汽车资源的回收需要改进塑料和橡胶的回收和再利用技术。
The contradiction between limited resources and rapid development in the automobile industry has been driving society to seek the supply of recyclable resources from End-of-Life Vehicles (ELVs). It has become an urgent need for vehicle recycling policymakers to have an overall understanding of the end-of-life (EoL) vehicle population, as well as for vehicle producers to note what and how they can benefit from ELV recycling. This paper estimated the potential population of EoL passenger vehicles, all recyclable resources from them, as well as the economic values of these recyclable resources. The results show that in 2030, with a lighter-weight trend of passenger vehicles, more than 26.3 million passenger vehicles will be retired with 19.1 million tons of recyclable steel and 6.2 million tons of plastics. The theoretical economic value of all recyclable resources will reach 101.3 billion yuan ($14.4 billion) in 2030, which is an average of approximately 2.4 thousand yuan ($341.8) for each EoL passenger vehicle. It is time for the vehicle producers to shift to a manufacturing mode considering such large potential of ELV recycling. The scenario analysis suggests that in the context of a light-weighting trend, ELV resource recovery in the future calls for improvement in the recycling and reuse technologies of plastics and rubbers.
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DOI：
10.7551/mitpress/8720.001.0001
发表时间：
2012-02
期刊：
--
影响因子：
--
作者：
P. Baccini;P. Brunner
通讯作者：
P. Baccini;P. Brunner
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影响因子：
3.1
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DOI：
10.2172/1010492
发表时间：
2007-03
期刊：
--
影响因子：
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作者：
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通讯作者：
B. Jody;E. Daniels;C. Duranceau;J. Pomykala;J. Spangenberger
影响因子：
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影响因子：
3.1
作者：
Shuhan Hu;Hidefumi Kurasaka
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