Frontiers in climate change-disease research.

Frontiers in climate change-disease research.
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DOI:
10.1016/j.tree.2011.03.002
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发表时间:
2011-06
影响因子:
16.8
通讯作者:
Thomas MB
Thomas MB
中科院分区:
生物学1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Rohr JR;Dobson AP;Johnson PT;Kilpatrick AM;Paull SH;Raffel TR;Ruiz-Moreno D;Thomas MB

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气候变化通常会增加人类和野生动物疾病的观念已经引起了公众的广泛关注,但仍然存在争议,并且似乎与气候变化也会导致寄生虫灭绝的预期不一致。在这篇综述中,我们通过回顾导致这一争议难以解决的知识差距,强调了气候变化-传染病研究的前沿。我们建议,可以通过更多的跨学科合作、更好地链接数据和模型、解决混杂变量和环境依赖性以及将代谢理论应用于宿主-寄生虫系统并考虑群落层面的相互作用和功能特征来改善对气候变化对疾病影响的预测。最后,虽然我们强调宿主与寄生虫的相互作用,但我们也强调这些要点对于气候变化对物种相互作用的总体影响的适用性。
The notion that climate change will generally increase human and wildlife diseases has garnered considerable public attention, but remains controversial and seems inconsistent with the expectation that climate change will also cause parasite extinctions. In this review, we highlight the frontiers in climate change–infectious disease research by reviewing knowledge gaps that make this controversy difficult to resolve. We suggest that forecasts of climate-change impacts on disease can be improved by more interdisciplinary collaborations, better linking of data and models, addressing confounding variables and context dependencies, and applying metabolic theory to host–parasite systems with consideration of community-level interactions and functional traits. Finally, although we emphasize host–parasite interactions, we also highlight the applicability of these points to climate-change effects on species interactions in general.
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