Changes in Japanese industrial structure and urbanization: evidence from prefectural data

Changes in Japanese industrial structure and urbanization: evidence from prefectural data
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日本产业结构和城市化的变化:来自都道府县数据的证据

DOI:
10.1080/13547860.2015.1054166
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发表时间:
2015-06
影响因子:
1.4
通讯作者:
Murakami Naoki
Murakami Naoki
中科院分区:
经济学4区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Murakami Naoki

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我们使用战后日本都道府县的数据,对产业结构变化与城市化之间的关系进行了实证分析。本研究使用了产业结构的三个概念,标准工业化(加强非农业部门),服务工业化和产业升级(加强专业服务业)。我们还重点讨论了城市化进程中的不同移民模式:县内和县间移民。回归分析的主要结果是:(1)在日本经济高速增长时期,工业化引起了其他都道府县的人口流入,这种影响促进了这些都道府县的城市化。(2)在同一时期,制造业比重较高的县吸引了许多来自其他县的移民,这种影响促进了城市化。(3)进入经济停滞期后,在产业升级推进的都道府县,都道府县内的人口迁移活跃,城市化也因此而推进。
We empirically analyzed the relationship between the change in industrial structure and urbanization using post-WWII data from Japanese prefectures. This study used three concepts of industrial structure, standard industrialization (enhancing of the non-agricultural sector), service industrialization, and the industrial upgrading (enhancing specialized service industries). We also focused on the different patterns of migration in the process of urbanization: intra-prefectural and inter-prefectural migration. The main results of the regression analysis are (1) during the period of rapid economic growth in Japan, industrialization induced population inflow from other prefectures, and this effect promoted urbanization in those prefectures. (2) During the same period, prefectures with relatively high shares of manufacturing attracted many migrants from other prefectures, and this effect promoted the urbanization. (3) Entering the period of economic stagnation, in the prefectures where industrial upgrading is advanced, intra-prefectural migration was active, and urbanization was also advanced by this effect.
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