Evaluation and Simulation of Water Security in the Circum-Bohai Sea Region of China
Evaluation and Simulation of Water Security in the Circum-Bohai Sea Region of China
复制标题
环渤海地区水安全评价与模拟
DOI：
10.3390/su132111891
复制
发表时间：
2021-10
期刊：
影响因子：
3.9
通讯作者：
changqing meng
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
men baohui;han boli;changqing meng
水资源的作用和必要性使其成为影响经济社会发展的重要因素。为探讨影响水资源利用的各种水安全问题，应用压力-状态-响应模型构建了环渤海地区水安全评价指标体系。本研究采用博弈法对两种赋权方法进行权衡，并采用正演云模型计算水安全等级。与以往工作相比，本研究尝试采用ELECTRE III方法对模拟情景进行分析，确定基于水安全等级的最优开发情景模式，并根据分析结果提出水安全对策建议。本研究提出了三种发展模式方案。在“减压”情景下，可以提出建设郊区、转移城市功能区等方式，缓解城市人口压力。在“理想状态”情景下，可以通过调水工程和蓄水工程来缓解区域水资源短缺。在“高效应对”情景下，可提出加强生态环境建设，提高污水处理能力。
The function and necessity of water resources make them an important factor affecting economic and social development. To explore various water security issues impacting water use, the pressure-state-response model was applied in this study to construct a water security evaluation indexing system for the Circum-Bohai Sea Region (CBSR) in China. In this study, the game method was used to balance the two weighting methods, and the water security grades were calculated by the forward cloud model. Compared with the previous work, this study tried to analyze the simulated scenarios using the ELECTRE III method, determined the optimal development scenario mode based on the water security grade, and put forward water security measures and suggestions based on the results. This study put forward three scenarios of development models. Under the scenario of “pressure reduction”, it can be proposed to build suburbs and transfer urban functional areas to relieve the pressure of urban population. Under the “ideal state” scenario, water diversion projects and water storage projects can be proposed to relieve the regional water shortage. Under the scenario of “efficient response”, strengthening ecological environment construction and improving sewage treatment capacity can be proposed.
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影响因子：
--
作者：
Chang Yu-Ting;Liu Hai-Long;Bao An-Ming;Chen Xi;Wang Ling
通讯作者：
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影响因子：
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作者：
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DOI：
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发表时间：
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期刊：
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影响因子：
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作者：
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影响因子：
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影响因子：
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作者：
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