Decision making under time pressure, modeled in a prospect theory framework.

Decision making under time pressure, modeled in a prospect theory framework.
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DOI:
10.1016/j.obhdp.2012.03.005
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发表时间:
2012-07-01
影响因子:
4.6
通讯作者:
Wu E
Wu E
中科院分区:
管理学2区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Young DL;Goodie AS;Hall DB;Wu E

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当前的研究基于前景理论框架,探讨了时间压力对决策行为的影响。在实验 1 和 2 中,参与者在有或没有时间压力的情况下估算二元收益赌注的确定性等价物。在实验 3 中,参与者评估了被设定为损失的可比赌注。我们对数据进行了建模,以建立决策行为背后的心理机制。在实验 1 和 2 中,时间压力导致风险吸引力增加,但概率可辨别性和结果效用均无显著差异。在实验 3 中,时间压力降低了概率可辨别性,同时在损失领域,两种条件下都出现了严重的寻求风险行为。对结果的控制没有观察到明显的影响。实验结果为时间压力下寻求收益的风险增加的理论提供了可靠的支持。
The current research examines the effects of time pressure on decision behavior based on a prospect theory framework. In Experiments 1 and 2, participants estimated certainty equivalents for binary gains-only bets in the presence or absence of time pressure. In Experiment 3, participants assessed comparable bets that were framed as losses. Data were modeled to establish psychological mechanisms underlying decision behavior. In Experiments 1 and 2, time pressure led to increased risk attractiveness, but no significant differences emerged in either probability discriminability or outcome utility. In Experiment 3, time pressure reduced probability discriminability, which was coupled with severe risk-seeking behavior for both conditions in the domain of losses. No significant effects of control over outcomes were observed. Results provide qualified support for theories that suggest increased risk-seeking for gains under time pressure.
DOI: 10.1287/mnsc.44.7.879
发表时间: 1998-07-01
期刊: MANAGEMENT SCIENCE
影响因子: 5.4
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