Understanding heterogeneities in mosquito-bite exposure and infection distributions for the elimination of lymphatic filariasis.
Understanding heterogeneities in mosquito-bite exposure and infection distributions for the elimination of lymphatic filariasis.
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DOI:
10.1098/rspb.2017.2253
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发表时间:
2018-01-31
期刊:
影响因子:
--
通讯作者:
Reimer LJ
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Irvine MA;Kazura JW;Hollingsworth TD;Reimer LJ
It is well known that individuals in the same community can be exposed to a highly variable number of mosquito bites. This heterogeneity in bite exposure has consequences for the control of vector-borne diseases because a few people may be contributing significantly to transmission. However, very few studies measure sources of heterogeneity in a way which is relevant to decision-making. We investigate the relationship between two classic measures of heterogeneity, spatial and individual, within the context of lymphatic filariasis, a parasitic mosquito-borne disease. Using infection and mosquito-bite data for five villages in Papua New Guinea, we measure biting characteristics to model what impact bed-nets have had on control of the disease. We combine this analysis with geospatial modelling to understand the spatial relationship between disease indicators and nightly mosquito bites. We found a weak association between biting and infection heterogeneity within villages. The introduction of bed-nets increased biting heterogeneity, but the reduction in mean biting more than compensated for this, by reducing prevalence closer to elimination thresholds. Nightly biting was explained by a spatial heterogeneity model, while parasite load was better explained by an individual heterogeneity model. Spatial and individual heterogeneity are qualitatively different with profoundly different policy implications.
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