Comparative analysis of completeness of death registration, adult mortality and life expectancy at birth in Brazil at the subnational level.
Comparative analysis of completeness of death registration, adult mortality and life expectancy at birth in Brazil at the subnational level.
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对巴西国家以下一级死亡登记完整性、成人死亡率和出生时预期寿命的比较分析。
DOI：
10.1186/s12963-020-00213-4
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发表时间：
2020-09-30
影响因子：
3.3
通讯作者：
Abreu DMX
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Queiroz BL;Gonzaga MR;Vasconcelos AMN;Lopes BT;Abreu DMX
对死亡登记完整性的估计对于估计生命表和人口预测以及估计疾病负担至关重要。这是评估数据质量的重要一步。就巴西国家以下各级的数据分析而言，必须考虑死亡率数据质量的时空变化。巴西有两个主要的数据质量评价来源，但很少有比较研究，以及它们如何随着时间的推移而演变。本文的目的是比较和讨论国家统计局（IBGE）、卫生调查与评估研究所（IHME）对1980年和2010年死亡登记完整性、成人死亡率（45q15）和预期寿命估计的替代估计，以及Queiroz et al.（2017）和Schmertmann and贡扎加（2018）提出的估计。我们提供了一个描述性和比较分析上述估计从四（4）来源的估计在国家以下一级（26个州和一个联邦区）在巴西从两个不同的时间点。我们发现，在估计影响水平和趋势的成人死亡率在巴西和国家的完整性显着差异。IHME和Queiroz et al.（2017）的估计到2010年趋于一致，但与国家统计局（IBGE）的估计相比存在很大差异。较不发达国家的差异较大。我们已经表明，随着时间的推移，巴西死亡率数据的质量稳步提高，但区域差异很大。然而，我们注意到，巴西地理统计局的估计表明，与其他估计相比，该国北方的完整性水平最低。方法和途径的选择可能会导致非常意想不到的结果。我们对不同来源的死亡登记完整性估计进行了详细的比较分析，并讨论了主要结果和这些差异的可能解释。我们还表明，仍然需要新的改进方法来研究欠发达国家和国家以下一级的成人死亡率。必须进行更多的比较研究，以提高巴西估计数的质量。
Estimates of completeness of death registration are crucial to produce estimates of life tables and population projections and to estimate the burden of disease. They are an important step in assessing the quality of data. In the case of subnational data analysis in Brazil, it is important to consider spatial and temporal variation in the quality of mortality data. There are two main sources of data quality evaluation in Brazil, but there are few comparative studies and how they evolve over time. The aim of the paper is to compare and discuss alternative estimates of completeness of death registration, adult mortality (45q15) and life expectancy estimates produced by the National Statistics Office (IBGE), Institute for Health Metrics and Evaluation (IHME), and estimates presented in Queiroz et al. (2017) and Schmertmann and Gonzaga (2018), for 1980 and 2010. We provide a descriptive and comparative analysis of aforementioned estimates from four (4) sources of estimates at subnational level (26 states and one Federal District) in Brazil from two different points in time. We found significant differences in estimates that affect both levels and trends of completeness of adult mortality in Brazil and states. IHME and Queiroz et al. (2017) estimates converge by 2010, but there are large differences when compared to estimates from the National Statistics Office (IBGE). Larger differences are observed for less developed states. We have showed that the quality of mortality data in Brazil has improved steadily overtime, but with large regional variations. However, we have observed that IBGE estimates show the lowest levels of completeness for the Northern of the country compared to other estimates. Choice of methods and approaches might lead to very unexpected results. We produced a detailed comparative analysis of estimates of completeness of death registration from different sources and discuss the main results and possible explanations for these differences. We have also showed that new improved methods are still needed to study adult mortality in less developed countries and at a subnational level. More comparative studies are important in order to improve quality of estimates in Brazil.
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影响因子：
2.1
作者：
Glei, Dana A.;Barbieri, Magali;Santamaria-Ulloa, Carolina
通讯作者：
Santamaria-Ulloa, Carolina
DOI：
10.1016/s0140-6736(17)32152-9
发表时间：
2017-09-16
期刊：
Lancet (London, England)
影响因子：
--
作者：
GBD 2016 Causes of Death Collaborators
通讯作者：
GBD 2016 Causes of Death Collaborators
影响因子：
3.7
作者：
Adair T;Lopez AD
通讯作者：
Lopez AD
影响因子：
2.4
作者：
Bhat, PNM
通讯作者：
Bhat, PNM
影响因子：
3.5
作者：
Alexander M;Zagheni E;Barbieri M
通讯作者：
Barbieri M