Accurate emotion prediction in dyads and groups and its potential social benefits.
Accurate emotion prediction in dyads and groups and its potential social benefits.
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DOI：
10.1037/emo0000890
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发表时间：
2022-08
期刊：
影响因子：
--
通讯作者：
Tamir DI
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Zhao Z;Thornton MA;Tamir DI
个体之间和群体之间的情感动态变化很大。成功的社会互动需要人们跟踪这个移动的目标，以便预测他人的想法、感觉和行动。在两项研究中，我们测试了人们是否会追踪他人的情绪特质，从而做出准确的、针对特定目标的情绪预测。在这两项研究中，参与者预测了一个特定目标的情绪转变——要么是一个亲密的朋友（研究1），要么是一个大学一年级的室友（研究2）——以及一个普通的小组成员。结果表明，人们可以对特定的个人和特定的群体做出高度准确的预测。准确的预测依赖于特定目标的知识；新的社区成员能够在零认识的情况下做出准确的预测，但随着时间的推移，随着个人积累专业知识，准确性也会提高。研究结果还表明，准确的情绪预测与个人和公共关系中的社会成功有关，而且这种关系可能随着时间的推移而出现。总的来说，我们的研究表明，人们准确地对他人的情绪转变做出个性化的预测，这样做在社会世界中发挥了有意义的作用。
Emotion dynamics vary considerably from individual to individual and from group to group. Successful social interactions require people to track this moving target in order to anticipate the thoughts, feelings, and actions of others. In two studies, we test whether people track others’ emotional idiosyncrasies to make accurate, target-specific emotion predictions. In both studies, participants predicted the emotion transitions of a specific target — either a close friend (Study 1) or a first-year college roommate (Study 2) — as well as an average group member. Results demonstrate that people can make highly accurate predictions both for specific individuals and specific groups. Accurate predictions rely on target-specific knowledge; new community members were able to make accurate predictions at zero-acquaintance, but accuracy increased over time as individuals accrued specialized knowledge. Results also suggest that accurate emotion prediction is associated with social success in both individual and communal relationships and that such a relation might emerge over time. Overall, our studies suggest that people accurately make individualized predictions of others’ emotion transitions and that doing so fulfills a meaningful function in the social world.
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