Hot topic or hot air? Climate change and malaria resurgence in East African highlands.

Hot topic or hot air? Climate change and malaria resurgence in East African highlands.
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热门话题还是空话?东非高原气候变化和疟疾死灰复燃。

DOI:
10.1016/s1471-4922(02)02374-7
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发表时间:
2002-12
影响因子:
9.6
通讯作者:
Snow RW
Snow RW
中科院分区:
医学1区
文献类型:
--
作者:
Hay SI;Rogers DJ;Randolph SE;Stern DI;Cox J;Shanks GD;Snow RW

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气候对疟疾发病率有重大影响,我们预测,预测的气候变化可能会对目前的全球疟疾分布造成一些改变,使其接近目前的边界。然而,将最近东非高地疟疾的死灰复燃归咎于气候变化则完全是另一回事。对这些地点的疟疾时间序列的分析表明,在没有共同变化的气候变化的情况下,疟疾发病率增加了。我们发现,疟疾寄生虫对药物耐药性的普遍增强和病媒控制活动的减少更有可能是疟疾卷土重来背后的推动力量。
Climate has a significant impact on malaria incidence and we have predicted that forecast climate changes might cause some modifications to the present global distribution of malaria close to its present boundaries. However, it is quite another matter to attribute recent resurgences of malaria in the highlands of East Africa to climate change. Analyses of malaria time-series at such sites have shown that malaria incidence has increased in the absence of co-varying changes in climate. We find the widespread increase in resistance of the malaria parasite to drugs and the decrease in vector control activities to be more likely driving forces behind the malaria resurgence.
DOI: 10.1016/s0001-706x(98)00010-2
发表时间: 1998-06-15
期刊: ACTA TROPICA
影响因子: 2.7
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发表时间: 1999-11-01
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DOI: 10.1038/415905a
发表时间: 2002-02-21
期刊: NATURE
影响因子: 64.8
作者:
Hay, Simon I;Cox, Jonathan;Rogers, David J;Randolph, Sarah E;Stern, David I;Shanks, G Dennis;Myers, Monica F;Snow, Robert W
通讯作者: Snow, Robert W