A case-control and cohort study to determine the relationship between ethnic background and severe COVID-19.
A case-control and cohort study to determine the relationship between ethnic background and severe COVID-19.
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DOI:
10.1016/j.eclinm.2020.100574
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发表时间:
2020-11
影响因子:
15.1
通讯作者:
Shah AM
中科院分区:
文献类型:
--
作者:
Zakeri R;Bendayan R;Ashworth M;Bean DM;Dodhia H;Durbaba S;O'Gallagher K;Palmer C;Curcin V;Aitken E;Bernal W;Barker RD;Norton S;Gulliford M;Teo JTH;Galloway J;Dobson RJB;Shah AM
People of minority ethnic backgrounds may be disproportionately affected by severe COVID-19. Whether this relates to increased infection risk, more severe disease progression, or worse in-hospital survival is unknown. The contribution of comorbidities or socioeconomic deprivation to ethnic patterning of outcomes is also unclear. We conducted a case-control and a cohort study in an inner city primary and secondary care setting to examine whether ethnic background affects the risk of hospital admission with severe COVID-19 and/or in-hospital mortality. Inner city adult residents admitted to hospital with confirmed COVID-19 (n = 872 cases) were compared with 3,488 matched controls randomly sampled from a primary healthcare database comprising 344,083 people residing in the same region. For the cohort study, we studied 1827 adults consecutively admitted with COVID-19. The primary exposure variable was self-defined ethnicity. Analyses were adjusted for socio-demographic and clinical variables. The 872 cases comprised 48.1% Black, 33.7% White, 12.6% Mixed/Other and 5.6% Asian patients. In conditional logistic regression analyses, Black and Mixed/Other ethnicity were associated with higher admission risk than white (OR 3.12 [95% CI 2.63–3.71] and 2.97 [2.30–3.85] respectively). Adjustment for comorbidities and deprivation modestly attenuated the association (OR 2.24 [1.83–2.74] for Black, 2.70 [2.03–3.59] for Mixed/Other). Asian ethnicity was not associated with higher admission risk (adjusted OR 1.01 [0.70–1.46]). In the cohort study of 1827 patients, 455 (28.9%) died over a median (IQR) of 8 (4–16) days. Age and male sex, but not Black (adjusted HR 1.06 [0.82–1.37]) or Mixed/Other ethnicity (adjusted HR 0.72 [0.47–1.10]), were associated with in-hospital mortality. Asian ethnicity was associated with higher in-hospital mortality but with a large confidence interval (adjusted HR 1.71 [1.15–2.56]). Black and Mixed ethnicity are independently associated with greater admission risk with COVID-19 and may be risk factors for development of severe disease, but do not affect in-hospital mortality risk. Comorbidities and socioeconomic factors only partly account for this and additional ethnicity-related factors may play a large role. The impact of COVID-19 may be different in Asians. British Heart Foundation; the National Institute for Health Research; Health Data Research UK.
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影响因子:
15.1
作者:
Leeds, John S.;Raviprakash, Veena;Leeds, Clare M.
通讯作者:
Leeds, Clare M.
DOI:
10.1136/bmj.i969
发表时间:
2016-02-25
期刊:
BMJ (Clinical research ed.)
影响因子:
--
作者:
Pearce N
通讯作者:
Pearce N
DOI:
10.1001/jama.2020.6775
发表时间:
2020-01-01
期刊:
JAMA, Journal of the American Medical Association
影响因子:
--
作者:
Richardson, Safiya;Hirsch, Jamie S.;,
通讯作者:
,
影响因子:
120.7
作者:
Brancati, FL;Kao, WHL;Szklo, M
通讯作者:
Szklo, M
影响因子:
64.5
作者:
Nedelec, Yohann;Sanz, Joaquin;Barreiro, Luis B.
通讯作者:
Barreiro, Luis B.