A Review of Dengue's Historical and Future Health Risk from a Changing Climate.
A Review of Dengue's Historical and Future Health Risk from a Changing Climate.
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DOI：
10.1007/s40572-021-00322-8
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发表时间：
2021-09
影响因子：
7.9
通讯作者：
Tung DK
中科院分区：
文献类型：
--
作者：
Soneja S;Tsarouchi G;Lumbroso D;Tung DK
本综述的目的是总结2007年至2019年发表的研究文章，这些文章为气候变化对登革热的历史和未来影响提供了风险估计。来自30项关于历史健康估计的研究的结果，其中大部分研究在亚洲进行，强调了温度，降水和相对湿度以及滞后效应的重要性，试图了解气候变化如何影响感染登革热的风险。此外，35项研究提出了基于气候预测情景的未来健康风险研究结果，其中三分之一展示了全球水平的估计和研究结果，强调需要在局部水平上理解风险，因为未来不同地区将不公平地经历气候变化的影响。登革热是世界上传播最快的病毒性疾病之一，全球每年约有3.9亿人感染。包括气候变化在内的若干因素促成了其扩散。此前已经进行了多项研究，从历史和未来风险的角度研究登革热与气候变化之间的关系。我们检索了美国国家环境卫生研究所（NIEHS）气候变化和健康门户网站的文献（2007年1月至2019年9月），提供了与全球气候变量相关的登革热感染的历史和未来健康风险估计。通过概述世界不同地区气候变化对登革热造成的历史和未来健康风险的证据，这篇综述文章使研究和政策界能够了解知识差距在哪里，以及需要解决哪些领域，以便实施本地化适应措施，以减轻未来登革热感染带来的健康风险。在线版本包含补充材料，可通过10.1007/s40572-021-00322-8获得。
The purpose of this review is to summarize research articles that provide risk estimates for the historical and future impact that climate change has had upon dengue published from 2007 through 2019. Findings from 30 studies on historical health estimates, with the majority of the studies conducted in Asia, emphasized the importance of temperature, precipitation, and relative humidity, as well as lag effects, when trying to understand how climate change can impact the risk of contracting dengue. Furthermore, 35 studies presented findings on future health risk based upon climate projection scenarios, with a third of them showcasing global level estimates and findings across the articles emphasizing the need to understand risk at a localized level as the impacts from climate change will be experienced inequitably across different geographies in the future. Dengue is one of the most rapidly spreading viral diseases in the world, with ~390 million people infected worldwide annually. Several factors have contributed towards its proliferation, including climate change. Multiple studies have previously been conducted examining the relationship between dengue and climate change, both from a historical and a future risk perspective. We searched the U.S. National Institute of Environmental Health (NIEHS) Climate Change and Health Portal for literature (spanning January 2007 to September 2019) providing historical and future health risk estimates of contracting dengue infection in relation to climate variables worldwide. With an overview of the evidence of the historical and future health risk posed by dengue from climate change across different regions of the world, this review article enables the research and policy community to understand where the knowledge gaps are and what areas need to be addressed in order to implement localized adaptation measures to mitigate the health risks posed by future dengue infection. The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s40572-021-00322-8.
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